|
Google Site Search | Get RDSS | Sartin Library | RDSS FAQs | Conduct | Register | Site FAQ | Members List | Search | Today's Posts | Mark Forums Read
2008 Breeders' Cup 2008 |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
10-23-2008, 04:31 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
|
BC Sprint - Race 7 - October 25
Here.
__________________
RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
10-23-2008, 05:17 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
|
BC Sprint Analysis:
Just as a note: I will not use anything other than raw Dmr times because variants crank up the rest of the readouts too much for my taste. #1 - EP, won as both E and EP, can run from 1-4 position, line 1 2 - S, only such type in race, will run from 9th, line 1 or 4 3 - E only, will be first or not at all, line 3 4 - P, will run from 7th-8th in this field, (see below) 5 - EP, running from either 2nd or 3rd pos, line 8 6 - EP, can run either 1st-4th pos, line 1 7 - P, runs from 4-5th pos, lines 1-5-6 8 - P, running from 3rd or farther back, lines 1-4 9 - EP, anywhere in top three positions, line 1 First I put in only the E and EP types and looked for probable pace. Pace: 21.7 - 44.4 from #9, line 1 As a result #3 can't be clear by stretch, #6 is slowest of EP types and #5 is fading off a 108.7. Several in this race go under 108. So I left in the 1 and 9 and then entered all the OTE types. #4, Last year's BC winner's best time was either in the BC or race just before - that 109 will be too slow this year - OUT #8 can run with these early but fades in stretch, OUT So now I'm left with the pace setter, #9 against probably #1 heading to the stretch call. The problem for me is whether the #1 will get involved too much with the pace, since when he ran 4th he was less than a length off the pace. His stretch call time should cook off the #9. I am left with In Summation and Street Boss, both of whom look to be running in their accustomed positions during this race. In Summation won from up close off a 54.4 stretch call at SA, so my top choice is #7, second choice #2, with the 1 and 9 for show. Good luck to the rest of you, Bill Last edited by Bill Lyster; 10-23-2008 at 05:18 PM. Reason: added horse #/pl for projected pace |
10-24-2008, 10:45 PM | #3 |
AlwNW1X
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 10
|
i have no problem with either the 2 & 7, which are 2 and 3 on my val 4 screen. the 1 horse is on top and what i find most intriguing is that the BAL is 3 eventhough in my prelim evaluation, i left 7 horses in the race. unfortunately the bias is against the 3 inside posts. don
|
10-25-2008, 04:05 AM | #4 |
AlwNW2X
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 28
|
BC Sprint
I see 5 horses E or Ep types. The front end will cook and the closers should win. I did not throw out Midnight Lute. In the past Breeders Cup races I have seen these kind of horses that won the year before and did not race or was raced lightly through the year and come out and win. Garrett Gomez won on him last year and he is entered in here for a reason. Work out in the morning have been good and Garrett won on Friday with a horse closing 6 wide.
my Picks Midnight Lute Street Boss for the win. Good Luck |
10-25-2008, 11:11 AM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
|
Fast
__________________
"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
10-25-2008, 05:02 PM | #6 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
|
Cracking race this and it looks set up for Midnight Lute
__________________
"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" |
10-25-2008, 05:19 PM | #7 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
|
Cracking stuff
__________________
"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" |
10-25-2008, 05:46 PM | #8 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
way
|
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
Similar Threads | ||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Turf Mile - Race 4 - October 25 | Ted Craven | 2008 | 6 | 10-25-2008 03:24 PM |
Dirt Mile - Race 3 - October 25 | Ted Craven | 2008 | 9 | 10-25-2008 03:10 PM |
Turf Sprint - Race 2 - October 25 | Ted Craven | 2008 | 4 | 10-25-2008 01:36 PM |
Filly and Mare Turf - Race 6 - October 24 | Ted Craven | 2008 | 16 | 10-24-2008 05:58 PM |
Juvenile Fillies Turf - Race 4 - October 24 | Ted Craven | 2008 | 15 | 10-24-2008 04:34 PM |