Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > General Discussion
Mark Forums Read
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Search Today's Posts

General Discussion General Horse Racing Discussion

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 02-05-2020, 11:27 AM   #1
ScottB
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 111
Betting with an edge

or Optimal Betting which is based theoretically on the horses chances of winning is a load of crap IMO and is just something that confuses the issue.

If I handicap a race and I like a horse that is going off at 4-1, I know if I bet $100 win I am going to turn a profit of $400 if my horse wins. If my horse is going off 5/2 and I bet $100 win I am going to turn a profit of $250.

That's all I have to know. Why confuse matters with bogus formulas.
ScottB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-05-2020, 05:09 PM   #2
rdiam
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
Glad to have you in the pari-mutuel pools.

Richard
rdiam is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-06-2020, 04:03 PM   #3
ScottB
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 111
Richard:

As a part time player I am a 35% winner with an average win mutual of $8.00. Thats a ROI of 40% I am satisfied with my success.

These book writers try to be slick with some of their advice and systems. If they were so successful why do they need to write books?

I use basics and I play the percentages. I meet my goals. Cant beat that.
ScottB is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-07-2020, 10:08 PM   #4
cratman
cratman
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: DC area
Posts: 83
People who write books

People can write books for a variety of reasons. Many and perhaps most do not "need" to write them. I for one am glad that some do.
cratman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 02-08-2020, 04:20 PM   #5
ScottB
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 111
Quote:
Originally Posted by cratman View Post
People can write books for a variety of reasons. Many and perhaps most do not "need" to write them. I for one am glad that some do.
I agree 100%.

There are many good books out there that are a great introduction to horse racing that teach you winning factors and angles that trainers use to prepare horses that are important to help you to become a winning selector. If you cannot pick winners you are dead in this game.

Then there are books written that in my opinion are useless. The authors come up with useless ideas and different formula’s that sound good but just confuse the issues. One is “ Optimal Betting.”

If I handicap a 10 horse race and I find a stick out going off at 4-1 I’m supposed to complicate matters by wondering what are his true chances of winning?
ScottB is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Optimal Betting rdiam General Discussion 23 01-27-2020 10:38 AM
Betting with an Edge mick General Discussion 5 08-15-2019 10:46 PM
Picking Losers rdiam General Discussion 9 04-10-2019 06:39 PM
Betting Practice Case Example - Pktruckdriver Ted Craven July Contest 13 07-29-2012 03:28 PM
Betting...DO's and DON'T's For The Lead General Discussion 2 07-05-2012 03:40 PM


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:14 AM.