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02-14-2014, 07:25 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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TuP Race #8 Phoenix Club Gold Cup
Tomorrow is the "big" race day of the meet for Turf Paradise. Unfortunately, I can't go but I thought I'd put up the two biggest races here and under another thread. This one may be a foregone conclusion. Oh well, here goes.
Tup0215 Race 8.pdf
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Tim Don't look back. You're not going that way. |
02-15-2014, 10:54 AM | #2 |
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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There are frequently shippers form So. Cal. for this race as is the case this year. The surface is harder. They don't always win.
Looking at this race, I see the 2,3,9,10, and 12. 2: Has run well on dirt surfaces with a 3 call fight effort in his last. Can run from 2nd or 3rd position. Contender. 3: I see this horse as fighting for the lead with the 12. Contender. 9: Will be eaten up in 2nd fraction. Hasn't run as well since long layoff. Out. 10: Needs 22.1 loose which he won't get today. Out. 12: Early horse who won this race last year going 21.1. It could go that fast. Contender. I'm left with the 2,3, and 12. I think the 3 and 12 will fight for the lead and the 2 will run OTE. The 2 is my selection. I'll be very surprised if he goes off at anything close to the 4:1 morning line. Tim |
02-15-2014, 11:46 AM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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pick
I like 2-10
Bob |
02-15-2014, 01:03 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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Hollendorfer didn't ship his horses. 2 and 9 are scratched.
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02-15-2014, 01:07 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Wow, that's huge for this race. In that case, I will go with the 12.
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02-15-2014, 01:20 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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With the scratches, the 3 and 12 seem to be evenly matched. Based on the race last year, I think the 12 can handle the fractions the 3 might run. I think the 12 is more of a fighter.
I'm on the 12. Tim |
02-15-2014, 04:06 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 207
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scratches by capcondo
Hi Tim,
TuP Race #8 Phoenix Club Gold Cup: How do you find out that horses 2 and 9 are scratched. I would like to know and, later we'll search for the Race Results. Thanks, DocSartinLearner (D.S.L.) |
02-15-2014, 04:34 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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Since Hollendorfer did not ship his horses, the #12 horse LA Weekend will be the heavy favorite in this race, thus will not offer any wagering value...
#12 LA Weekend should dominate this sprint race as he is the best conditioned entry and has obviously pointed to this race as he is the defending winner from last year. I might take a swing with the #1 horse sneaking in for the second spot...we'll see.. Good Skills |
02-15-2014, 05:28 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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I think 10 has shown pressing capabilities and along with the 5 should be along to pick up pieces.
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02-15-2014, 10:42 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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Race #8 Phx Club Gold Cup
A local wins this race at a big price from off the pace. Locals win this race more often than one would think. Here is the chart:
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