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Old 05-27-2008, 03:27 PM   #1
Tim Y
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Change, it's ALWAYS there

Some people understand this others don't. The great scientist and acknowledged inventor of the microscope did not.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anton_van_Leeuwenhoek.

As the story goes, this fellow was a meticulous note taker and observer (one of the many reasons he was a good scientist) and his long, long notes to the Royal Society of London told, in minute detail, his observations. He did miss the boat on change however: fearful that the changes he saw might alter his understanding (drying out of materials, mold over-growing the object, insects invading it -all of which he believed were spontaneous) he would leave items on the microscope for months. Of course every time he looked, it had changed, so he would leave it there, build another microscope and begin a new cycle. His saw change but mis-interpreted the innate nature of what he was looking at.

On the other side of the coin are the Chinese and their great embracing of change. The cycle of the Yin/Yang and the oracle of the I Ching: "Don't be too happy about today or too sad, because LIKE ALL THINGS, it will change." This philosophy is built into their writings like The Tao and was mentioned time and time again by Dr. Sartin's writings.

So what is a race but CHANGE? The races we review will never happen again (that group of horses in THAT part of each one's form cycle, with those riders on that day's track), so reviewing the past only suggests the future for we must "fill in the blanks" from those historical races and what the challenges of today's match up will bring to the horses in this phase of their form cycles.

This is where the ART of handicapping has to inject it's addition to the science we all know in the segmental velocities. Were those last few races a stepping stone to today, a step backward, neutral, a work out within a race, etc???

Second, since horses are creatures of habit, we are looking for the horse and it's intrinsic ability, not that horse's reaction to a single race match up: you need to look at both the TREND of the horse's form, but also the HISTORY (multiple reviews of reactions to other match ups) to see how the HORSE'S innate quality and reaction to pace pressure will work out in today's match up.

The horse and it's energy distribution POTENTIAL is the key to the bridge between historical races and the projection to today's match-up.

Last edited by Tim Y; 05-27-2008 at 03:32 PM.
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Old 05-27-2008, 06:30 PM   #2
Bob Cochran
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Change

Doc Sartin frequently explained handicapping horses as "predicting the future".

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Old 05-28-2008, 05:33 PM   #3
VoodooFan
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TimY post here sounds like Doc is talking.

Are you temporarily possessed by Doc Sartin?

Tell Doc to stop that. Thats not the kind of voodoo we are practicing here.

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