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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ... |
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04-26-2018, 08:13 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 340
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Gulfsteam 4-26-6th race
If anybody did 6th at Gp today would love to see your readouts and what pacelines you used.
Thanks. |
04-26-2018, 08:16 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 340
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Gp race 7 4-26- not 6th race.
I screwed up. Meant race 7. GP 4-26
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04-27-2018, 12:29 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: pittsburgh, now! Lancaster, CA.
Posts: 2,531
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line 1 on the and line 2 on the
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i love every single minute of life, and, if one is lucky,then you must give it to others. |
04-27-2018, 06:19 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
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Contender analysis (steps, in order): demote from Primary (Win): #4 and #2 for being off too long (e.g. > ~90 days) demote #5 and #2 (again) for no Turf demote #3 as worst of Top 4 Rx, fewest ranks 1 and 2 #7 is getting a little long in the tooth for Claiming N2L conditions, but has a good excuse last race and is a specialist at the distance, surface and track. 6.60 -1 odds, ProfitLine and Morning Line Rank=2 retains my interest. I tried lines 1 and 2 for the #6 winner: technically line 2 is from a good race but either line keeps it level 3 on Rx line (and tier 1 or 2 on BL). #6 has to be one of the Win bets for all its rank 1s, and 6.60 - 1 odds Also can bet Top Rx (and 2nd BL and VDC) horse and co-favourite #1. Or, bet all 3 to Win (hedge the #6 to breakeven) Exacta: 1-7-6 / 1-7-6-4 Tote info was unavailable. Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 04-27-2018 at 06:28 PM. |
04-27-2018, 07:41 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Gp 6
GP race 6 4/26
PHASE 1 RX3 |
04-27-2018, 08:11 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 340
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Thanks to 3 great guys
Thank you all 3 of you great guys.
I missed this race and I don't think I should have. My best to you. |
04-27-2018, 10:15 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 340
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I pretty much concur with your contenders and pace lines. But I did use 9 off his last line cause I thought it looked pretty good. May I ask why you made 9 a secondary contender? It would help me greatly.
You guys are so very helpful. |
04-28-2018, 05:55 PM | #8 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Lines
Hi Lefty
I used the phase 1 contender guidelines . The # 9 horse is not one of the top 3 EPR or LPR horses It is also not within 5 points of the top rated TPR horse . I used the last line for horse 9 . This still young 3 year old seems to always run the same race Early lead then dies , Today starts a new form cycle. After a 4 day layoff, He has not done anything after his other layoffs . The conditions for the last line on March 16th was restricted for 3 year olds only. In today's race, older horses can run as long as the don't have 2 wins. Little Plum rated 2nd on RX3 in that March 16th race but ran out of the money. |
04-28-2018, 07:07 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 340
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Bill, thanks for taking the time to explain it to me. I did TPR by hand and I probably made a mistake in figuring FFR.
Many many thanks. ff |
04-28-2018, 07:08 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 340
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Bill, thanks for taking the time to explain it to me. I did TPR by hand and I probably made a mistake in figuring FFR.
Many many thanks. ff |
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