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06-21-2020, 02:45 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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SA p6 Forced Payout 6/21/20
SA p6 Forced Payout $1,089,836 carryover 6/21/20
r1: As 3-4, Bs 2-5, Cs 1-6-7: chalky, Franco on the 4 should control pace, 4 likely pounded by rebate syndicates r2: As 2-3-6-7, Bs 1, Cs 4-5: wide open, 3 working well after 252 day layoff, Fuentes on 7 may try to steal on lead r3: As 2-7, Bs 1-3-8, Cs 4-6, Xs 5: chaos, six of eight FTS, 7 may offer some value if Espinoza can steal on the lead r4: As 8-12, Bs 1-5-6-9, Cs 3-4-10-11, Xs 2-7: chaos, five of eleven FTS, 5 may offer some value r5: As 3-6-7, Cs 1-2-4-5: predictable, 7 legit favorite r6: As 5-8, Bs 2-4, Cs 3-6-7, Xs 1: predictable, 5 needs the lead, 8 likely pounded by rebate syndicates r7: As 1-2-6, Cs 3-5, Xs 4: chalky, 1 needs the lead and likely to get it with Prat, 6 will close r8: As 10-11, Bs 1-3, Cs 2-7-8-9, Xs 4-6: wide open, no one want lead, 10 showing hot trainer/jockey, combo, 3 may offer value in an open race r9: As 3-6, Bs 1-5, Cs 2-4, Xs 7: predictable, watch for positive tote action on 6 r10: As 3-5-7, Bs 1-4-8, Cs 6-10, Xs 9: chaos, if Espinoza can steal on the lead with the 4 might be good value play in a chaos race r11: As 2-11, Bs 1-5-8, Cs 3-6-9, Xs 4: wide open, 2 is well meant Baffert FTS, 7 puts blinkers on and move back to dirt r12: As 5-6-12, Bs 2-3-11, Cs 9-10, Xs 1-4-7-8: chaos, 5 will be closing, 12 been working well after 105 day layoff, 6 may be value play if Van Dyke can control early pace, 2 can win this if runs back to last race Good luck Richard |
06-22-2020, 08:18 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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Results:
r1: B(2)-C(6): missed, not a structure for me in "chalky" race r2: A(3)-A(6): $2 win $16.20, $1 ex $21.90 r3: C(4)-B(3): missed, both FTS, not a structure for me in "chaos" race r4: C(10)-C(3): missed, not a structure for me in "chaos" race r5: A(3)-A(7): $1 ex $11.60 r6: B(2)-B(4): $1 ex $28.10, $1 DD $40.40 r7: A(6)-A(2): $2 win $10.60, $1 ex $13.70, $1 DD $65.20, $1 p3 $51.80 r8: A(10)-C(6): $1 DD $50.40, $1 p3 $48.20 r9: A(3)-A(6): $2 win $11.60, $1 ex $10.20, $1 D 43.60, $1 p3 $58.15 r10: B(4)-B(8): $2 win $16.80, $1 ex $47.20, $1 DD $93.20, $1 p3 $68.50 r11: A(2)-B(5): $1 ex $5.30, $1 DD $39.20, $1 p3 $62.80 r12: A(5)-X(8): $2 win $25.20, $1 DD $41.20, $1 p3 $97.55, $1 p4 $851.95,$1 p5 $2,321,45, AND: $0.20 p6 $12,304.70, comprised of 5 As and 1 B HUGE overlay, paid nearly 4x the win parlay. Great end to my Father's Day weekend. Richard |
06-22-2020, 08:26 AM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: central islip ny
Posts: 1,090
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Congratulations. Nice handicapping.
__________________
Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com |
06-22-2020, 09:18 AM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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Very nice work Richard, congrats.
Mitch44 |
06-22-2020, 10:57 AM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,117
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Congrats Richard very nice work indeed.
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify |
06-22-2020, 07:19 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
|
Thanks for the kind words Charlie, Mitch, and Tim. A round of drinks on me if/when we meet again at SAR.
Richard |
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