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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ... |
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08-14-2018, 10:24 AM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Interested to see Which line
Hello friends
Which line? This is a horse running in the 7th and feature race today at Finger Lakes My question, Which pace line to use? Line 1 is a "0" race He ran 14 days ago. This is the 4th race in his form cycle. The comment says "sluggish start, mild rail bid" His readouts from line 1 show that line 1 is comparable to all his other "+" races. He uses his energy well, He is forwardly placed but uses his energy just slightly to the early side of the early/late graph so runs good third fractions. My question, since as far as I can tell, nothing has changed since the last race in his form cycle, except now he is going back to 6 furlongs. Can I excuse line 1 and use line 2 My answer is, even though it is not a + race I can't get a read on where this horse is in form. Here is what I do in these cases, I will use line 2 but if the horse ranks third or worse on the final RX or BLBL readouts I will avoid betting him because he probably needs a rest as he is going off form based on line 1 I ask this because I see this pattern often in races before a horse goes on layoffs It's the old "pirco" saying " don't use a line that put the horse in the barn" Good Skill Bill |
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