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Old 11-02-2013, 01:56 PM   #1
Ted Craven
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Today ...

I'm proceeding with a lot of caution today, using at most half my normal wager unit - enjoying watching races if there's too much unclarity in any of them (which there is in a lot of them!)

The best opinion I have in any race so far, besides Wise Dan in the Mile, is in the Downhill Turf Sprint: #3 Chips All In and #12 Mizdirection

Re 'early bias' on dirt - I have to believe that the matchup of Earlies/Fighters and Pressers/Late horses in any race has at least as much impact on the outcome as any sudden weather or track maintenance issues.

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Old 11-02-2013, 02:03 PM   #2
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One race does not confirm anything, but the first dirt race today (#2) using Bill L's described E/ep analysis (http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthr...newpost&t=9480) rates the winner well (on top), as does the traditional Best of Last 3 comparable (only 4 real contenders, though ...)

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I'll check things as they go, out of curiosity ...

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Old 11-02-2013, 02:15 PM   #3
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Race 3

#1 shows some possibility as an overlay. I required (as for all the downhill Turf course sprints) that the contenders have shown some affinity for this particular, peculiar, surface, and in a decent time. If so, I'm happy to seek a better line (i.e. in case their 6.5T line was against a slow pace).

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Old 11-02-2013, 02:57 PM   #4
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Hey Ted. Good luck out there!
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Old 11-02-2013, 03:03 PM   #5
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In the 4th. The 1 will be my key horse. Will mostly bet the 1,10 to win
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Old 11-02-2013, 03:06 PM   #6
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Smile

Ted...Good job at Santa Anita today! Too bad I didn't see your posts earlier, otherwise I would have thrown a few bucks on your selections. Keep it up!
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Old 11-02-2013, 03:10 PM   #7
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Wow, what a finish to the 4th!
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Old 11-02-2013, 03:24 PM   #8
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dirty moose .....Sorry for the disqualification in the 4th race. You did a good job getting the #10 to win. Keep it up!
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Old 11-02-2013, 03:31 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dirty moose View Post
In the 4th. The 1 will be my key horse. Will mostly bet the 1,10 to win

Sorry Matt

Hope you feel alright . Nice work picking the 10
Use that to your advantage as you move on


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Old 11-02-2013, 03:36 PM   #10
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Thanks 's fellas! That one hurt tho.
If you ask me =)... Total crock o' sheet....
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