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11-01-2019, 11:16 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 377
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Breeders Cup Day 1 Race 6
My target horse is #3. I feel that the 2 and 7 are my top two horses. With the jockey change to Rosario on the 7, I feel that this horse is ready to step up, run his best # to date and turn the tables on the 2. The track bias should favor him also. U may not get the 12-1 'll on him, but should get at least 9/2 or better on him Take It!
Remember, be forward looking. Foresight begins with hindsight.sax1101t.pdf |
11-01-2019, 01:02 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Day 1
Bring it in and many others
Good Skill |
11-01-2019, 01:14 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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Same race from a slightly different view point:
This is a screenshot of the New Pace info that I have tracked from the last 11 BC's, six of which have been at SA and 7 altogether in Socal. The best Late horse is 12 Arizona, a Euro, the 2nd best Euro is 13, Fort Myers. The top 2 Late Euros have won 6 of 7 socal breeders cup juvenile turf races. Overall, 8 of 11 top 2 Euros have won this race. The 4 and 14 are the highest rated US runners. Other considerations. The winner has come from the 13 hole 2 times and the 14 hole once, and all were US horses. Other than that the winner has come from post 1-5 8 times - all top 2 Euros. The winner has always come from the top 7 ML choices, and 8/11 from the top 4 ML choices. I will box 12 x 2 x 4 x 14 Surprisingly the turf fillies race has been dominated by the top 4 US horses with 1 Euro favorite and two top 1 Euro horses from this graph. Good luck today. |
11-01-2019, 01:32 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Sa
Race 1. Tandem 5-1
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11-01-2019, 01:57 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Great Start
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11-01-2019, 01:58 PM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Bill L
Hey Bill Lyster
I hope you also had the marathon |
11-01-2019, 02:22 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 377
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sa 1101 R6
Open the file to see the bias info for the race. I gave my take on this race under selections post. The #5 scratched,he didn't figure anyhow, too much of a deep closer. #8 is taking the cheaters off. I don't like horses with equipment changes going into a big race. The #14 is interesting but breaking from outside. Your foreign horse went off at 14,5 and 5.5 in last 3 and did not win and installed as 5/2 ml fave. U bet him,I'll pass. #10 went off at 17-1 last out and today 20-1. No thanks. I'll box the 3-7-14 in exacta, key box 2-4 around 3-7-14 but the 7 and 3 are my horses. This is my only bet today, i'll wait for tomorrow.
Omar If U cant see image open attachment under selections. Last edited by omar; 11-01-2019 at 02:29 PM. |
11-01-2019, 02:32 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Sa
Race 3. Tandem 11-9-8
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11-01-2019, 03:10 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
|
Sa
Race 4. Tandem 1-3-9-11 Only the 11 and 3 qualify as the 1 and 9 do not qualify because of lengths beaten. Maybe an exacta 11-3/ 1-3-9-11
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11-01-2019, 04:04 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
|
Sa
Race 5. This is not a Tandem for the following reason The 9 runs 21.3 44.1
the tandem horses 1-3-5-7 run 23.1 45.1. Plus we have the Euros running here, pass for me. |
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