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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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05-15-2014, 05:39 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Pimlico Special -Entropy
Here is my look using the Sartin program Entropy
Here are my pace lines - I stayed within 1 furlong of the 9.5 distance First here are some notes about Entropy. No track to track or daily variants are used All adjustments come from the dream race -that is the fastest 1st 2nd an 3rd fractions from the pace lines entered. Entropy includes the phase 1 numbers. The final sort screen list the various declaration/velocity readouts in compounded numbers. The sort line score 2 lowest total scores are one method of a wager selection. I will use that here. Here are the adjusted lines Here is the energy generator next post will have my readouts .. Last edited by Bill V.; 05-15-2014 at 05:51 PM. |
05-15-2014, 05:44 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Phase 1
using the phase 1 screen in Entropy
I will keep the top 5 TPR (CPR) horses and if they are not included in the top 5 . the top EPR and LPR horses H3 175.8 #1 EPR 91.0 H6 175.0 #1 LPR 93.6 H5 174.5 H9 173.1 H2 172.9 H8 172.9 Now the sort -Low is best on the line score so its 6 9 and 2 |
05-16-2014, 06:17 PM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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win and "almost exacta :)
The 6 wins. The 2 runs third
Detailed explanations |
05-16-2014, 07:02 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Chart
Here is the result chart
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05-16-2014, 11:26 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 644
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30 lengths back!
I think Mike smith shipped in on Zenyatta! |
05-17-2014, 08:00 AM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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If we use the Pimlico Special pace line the next time Rev runs. It might seem like
we are making a very big adjustment if we only enter 9 beaten lengths But in reality it is not much Here are Revolutions pace lines from the PM using the full beaten lengths and using only 9 the readouts on the energy generator are still close |
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