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05-02-2020, 05:19 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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OP r13 5/2/20 Arkansas Derby
OP r13 5/2/20 Arkansas Derby post time 7:43 ET
In reverse order: 6 -- Code Runner: stretches out to 9f, up in class, first after 52 day layoff, jockey switch to Elliot, BUT: figures to regress from last race => TOSS 1 -- Finnick the Fierce: up in class, second after layoff, BUT: figures to regress, comes from off the pace => TOSS 9 -- Taishan: jockey switch to Cohen, will be pressing fast early pace but struggling to keep up, appears too slow on a fast track => TOSS 10 -- Farmington Road: up in class, second after layoff, => probably too slow to win, but might close late so use on bottom in vertical exotics 7 -- Silver Prospector: stretches out to 9f, rising in class from G2 stakes, first after 49 day layoff, BUT appears Feb 17 race took a lot out of him => TOSS 4 -- King Guillermo: stretches out to 9f, rising from G2 stakes, first race after 56 day layoff, figures to regress a bit from last race, will be pressing fast early pace, but has a closing kick: => WIN BET at 9-1 or higher (doubtful), use top and bottom in vertical exotics 11 -- Wells Bayou: shortens up from 9.5f, rising from G2 stakes, fourth race after layoff, figures to improve, will be pressing fast early pace => WIN BET at 6-1 or higher (doubtful), use top and bottom in vertical exotics 3 -- Storm the Court: stretches out to 9f, rising from G2 stakes, first race after 56 day layoff, jockey switch to Prat, will be pressing fast early pace => WIN BET at 4-1 or higher, use top and bottom in vertical exotics 5 -- Nadal: stretches out to 9f, rising from G2 stakes, first race after 49 day layoff, NEEDS THE LEAD and should get it, is the speed of the speed => WIN BET at 5-2 or higher, use top and bottom in vertical exotics Good luck. Richard |
05-02-2020, 07:33 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,041
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Good luck Richard
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify |
05-02-2020, 08:13 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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