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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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07-28-2013, 12:34 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Born To Run The Haskell
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07-28-2013, 12:36 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Tramps like us
Everybodys out on the run tonight ...
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07-28-2013, 12:40 PM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Girls comb their hair in rear view mirrors
I wanna die with you Wendy on the street tonight in a everlasting kiss..
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07-28-2013, 12:47 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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1 2 3 4
Someday girl I don't know when ...
Tramps like us ....baby we were born to run ... |
07-28-2013, 12:51 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Baffert owns this race lately
But what about the poly track Keene line ????
I would Love to see Verraznno win If I can't get value Bill |
07-28-2013, 01:15 PM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Dads look
Here is my dads look
Bill, this is my TPR 7-6-4-5-3-2-1 and BL 7--6-4-5-3-2-1 My line choices are 1(1)( #2(3) #3(2) #4(1) #5(1) #6(1) #7(1) What do you get? Good luck on the day. Love Dad My Dad tends to use class of race as a paceline selection method and plays superfectas so he includes all the horses |
07-28-2013, 01:58 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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This race via matchup
Power Broker is pace of race: 23.1-46.3-111.1-148 (times are in fifths-last race extended to 9F +6.2 + 141.3 = 148.0)
PB fought for early in last, could get challenged by the 2 and 5 at 6f point, but PB is faster than 2; PM the 5 can get lead at 6f, but mile time and finish time look like he cannot power past PB. I think those two lock horns Golden Soul wins. Verrazano can't press off recent at this pace; he might press off one turn mile at GP earlier this year, but if that happens then you have the 2, 4, 5 and 7 all at each others necks around 6f - 7 f mark in this race. I went back to the Derby chart for Golden Soul info. If PB withstands the pace my exacta is GS and PB. Good handicapping. |
07-28-2013, 02:10 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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Haskell analysis
Verrazano-last paceline..this one got a huge breather with the soft early fractions which enabled him to run that great sustained fraction Oxbow- chose Preakness paceline…used all the fractions up to the mile marker as prescribed by the “Hat” Lukas is training this one differently, as this one has only one published workout and has been jogging clockwise on his “two-minute lick”. Golden Soul-surprised many in the Kentucky Derby by running second to Orb. At first, this gave me the impression that this race is a prep race for the Travers. But I hate assuming especially in a $million dollar Grade 1 race. Power Broker- last paceline…ranks a cut below the true Grade 1 competitors…. My two major contenders are Golden Soul and Verrazano. Good Skills |
07-29-2013, 10:37 AM | #9 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Recap
Thanks Lone Speed Bill L. and Dad for jumping in
Congrats to Verrazano Lone Speed, I like how you commented on you pace line choices. I would like to do the same Horse 1 Vyjack... I used line 3 a grade 1 plus line (113) I excused the Derby and 12 furlong Belmont. Horse 2 Pick of The litter.. I should have not used a line. He only has a MS win and its last line is a plus grade 3 race but on the Kee Poly. Horse 3 Golden Soul Looks like Doc was correct about the derby pace lines No Line Horse 4 Power Broker.. I used Line 1. Its a recent plus pace line. I had questions about its graded stakes ability as a 3 year old. Horse 5 Oxbox... I used the Preakness Grade 1 plus line. I excused the Belmont 12 furlong distance. Horse 6 Micro Manage.. I did not enter a pace line. It shows no plus graded stakes pacelines ( but Joe Bravo on his home track !) Horse 7 Verrazano .... I used line 3. The reason I did not use line 1 ? I normally would have used it because its a grade 3 plus pace line. However, I watched that race live on June 16th. It really was just a prep public work out as its .40 odds show. I excused the Derby line and used Line 3. Line 1 shows Verrazano was in back in form. Line 3 is because of the competition level. |
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