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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 08-17-2021, 06:15 PM   #1
rdiam
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Canterbury Park, r4, 8/17/21

Canterbury Park, r4, 8/17/21: 7.5f on Turf, Allowance for NW3, post 7:40 pm EDT

Starting with pace lines and observations:

1 -- L1 (July 3): switches dirt to turf, route to sprint, first race after 45 day layoff, BUT has top ranked last race speed rating and strong Fr1

2 -- L1 (july 11): jockey switch, has never gone this far, seems to be going out of form, lowest ranked trainer in field

3 -- try L2 (jun 22) and L3 (june 2): positive jockey switch, BUT seems to be going out of form, no workouts since raced 40 days ago

4 -- L1 (july 18): switches route to sprint, no workouts since raced 30 days ago, BUT has top ranked trainer in field

5 -- L2 (jun 3): switches dirt to turf, route to sprint, has been running in stakes, 4th race after layoff, quality workout since last raced, BUT lowest ranked jockey in field

6 -- L1 (july 8): jockey switch to top jockey in field, quality workout since last raced

7 -- try L1 (july 8) and L2 (june 22): very slow early, might be too slow to win, BUT strong Fr3

8 -- SCRATCHED

9 -- L1 (july 8): third race after layoff, top last race speed fig, BUT slow Fr1

10 -- try L1 (july 18) and L2 (july4): switches route to sprint, quality workout since last raced.

MATCHUP: 5, 2 and 4 battle for the lead, will be pressed by 6, with 3 and 9 closing

WIN CONTENDERS: 9,4,5,7, LONGSHOT CONTENDER: 1

BET STRUCTURE: win bets 4,7, ex 5/1,2,4,6,9, ex 9/1,3,4,5,7, small win bet on 1

Good luck

Richard
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Old 08-17-2021, 06:41 PM   #2
ranchwest
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lines:

1: 9
2: 2
3: 3
4: 10
5: 2
6: 1
7: 2
8: 4
9: 1
10: 1

Contenders: 4-5-9-3
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Old 08-17-2021, 07:30 PM   #3
Lt1
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Good luck Richard.
Tim
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Old 08-17-2021, 07:33 PM   #4
raceman5
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Cby

R4 4-5-9-10 4/5-9-10 5-9-10/4
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Old 08-17-2021, 07:47 PM   #5
raceman5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by raceman5 View Post
R4 4-5-9-10 4/5-9-10 5-9-10/4

10 Wins 18.40
5 2nd EX 88.00
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Old 08-17-2021, 07:53 PM   #6
rdiam
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Results: 10-5-6-7

Nice forward move by the 10, not on my radar for this race.

Richard
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