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Old 10-01-2012, 03:28 PM   #1
Bill V.
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Old 10-04-2012, 03:52 PM   #2
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FL 10/4 Race 7

$34 win # 5
$66 Place # 5

Hide the 4 the 6 is also around 2/1

screens to follow
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Old 10-04-2012, 04:31 PM   #3
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Miss

The 4 horse wins and pays nothing This is a low odds Miss

I went with the 5 as it was ranked 3rd I missed my place bet to the 3 horse
which was ranked almost 3 point less in 19-16 only the BL
The race had a few early type runners My hope was the 5 being the counter energy with a 2 on the Early late graph would over take them or at least get second


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Old 10-06-2012, 03:18 PM   #4
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Prx race 7 10/6

$34 win # 7
$32 win # 8
$ 34 Place # 8

GS
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Old 10-06-2012, 04:41 PM   #5
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Race 7 results

The router 6 wins and pays 7.60
thats a loss

here is the winner

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Old 10-08-2012, 03:06 PM   #6
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Parx race 7 10/8

$45 win # 2
$25 win # 8
$30 place # 8

Screens to follow
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Old 10-08-2012, 04:08 PM   #7
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Results

The 2 wins and pays 8.40

Here are my thoughts on this race

I bet this race because 1 mile is a distance I do well at
I also perfer 5.5 and 8.3 distance races.

I waited till about 3 minutes to post to see if the 2 was worth
betting. I knew the 8 was good value at 6/1.
I saw the big drop in class after the claim from 16m to 7500
but this is a non winner of 2 races in 6 months and these are
tougher races at Parx than most people think.

my top 5 contenders from Phase 1 were the
8,2,7.9,and 3 They also fit the condition of the race
all have a win within the last 6 months
The 4 and 5 did not.

I felt 3/1 was fair for the 2
The 2 and the 8 had a big advantage on the BL with scores 24 and 22
these odds line scores were 5 points higher than the 3rd ranked #7

The 2 and the 8 had a 2 point advantage on TPR and were close to
the center line on the early late graph

Here are some screen shots

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Old 10-10-2012, 03:38 PM   #8
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Haw Race 2 10/10

$40 w/p # 4
$20 Place # 8
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Old 10-10-2012, 03:52 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V. View Post
$40 w/p # 4
$20 Place # 8
You should have trusted you gut , the 8 won at 21.90, I think good call, thanks for the heads up.


patrick


PS: I say that as you posted the 8 first, makes me think you saw something, and then backed off, as you bet the 4 more. Just my thoughts , no more
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Old 10-10-2012, 03:58 PM   #10
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guts

Well I didn't have the guts to bet it better than place
But its a hit and even a blue star

Way to go Barb who has the 8 as a $60 winner
Here are more screens for this race
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8741


Here is the BLBL, the off odds and the results

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Last edited by Bill V.; 10-10-2012 at 04:02 PM.
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