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10-01-2012, 03:28 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Bill V.
October Picks
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10-04-2012, 03:52 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
FL 10/4 Race 7
$34 win # 5
$66 Place # 5 Hide the 4 the 6 is also around 2/1 screens to follow |
10-04-2012, 04:31 PM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Miss
The 4 horse wins and pays nothing This is a low odds Miss
I went with the 5 as it was ranked 3rd I missed my place bet to the 3 horse which was ranked almost 3 point less in 19-16 only the BL The race had a few early type runners My hope was the 5 being the counter energy with a 2 on the Early late graph would over take them or at least get second |
10-06-2012, 03:18 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Prx race 7 10/6
$34 win # 7
$32 win # 8 $ 34 Place # 8 GS Bill V |
10-06-2012, 04:41 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Race 7 results
The router 6 wins and pays 7.60
thats a loss here is the winner |
10-08-2012, 03:06 PM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Parx race 7 10/8
$45 win # 2
$25 win # 8 $30 place # 8 Screens to follow |
10-08-2012, 04:08 PM | #7 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Results
The 2 wins and pays 8.40
Here are my thoughts on this race I bet this race because 1 mile is a distance I do well at I also perfer 5.5 and 8.3 distance races. I waited till about 3 minutes to post to see if the 2 was worth betting. I knew the 8 was good value at 6/1. I saw the big drop in class after the claim from 16m to 7500 but this is a non winner of 2 races in 6 months and these are tougher races at Parx than most people think. my top 5 contenders from Phase 1 were the 8,2,7.9,and 3 They also fit the condition of the race all have a win within the last 6 months The 4 and 5 did not. I felt 3/1 was fair for the 2 The 2 and the 8 had a big advantage on the BL with scores 24 and 22 these odds line scores were 5 points higher than the 3rd ranked #7 The 2 and the 8 had a 2 point advantage on TPR and were close to the center line on the early late graph Here are some screen shots |
10-10-2012, 03:38 PM | #8 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Haw Race 2 10/10
$40 w/p # 4
$20 Place # 8 |
10-10-2012, 03:52 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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You should have trusted you gut , the 8 won at 21.90, I think good call, thanks for the heads up.
patrick PS: I say that as you posted the 8 first, makes me think you saw something, and then backed off, as you bet the 4 more. Just my thoughts , no more
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http://pktruckdriver.blogspot.com/ |
10-10-2012, 03:58 PM | #10 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
guts
Well I didn't have the guts to bet it better than place
But its a hit and even a blue star Way to go Barb who has the 8 as a $60 winner Here are more screens for this race http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8741 Here is the BLBL, the off odds and the results Last edited by Bill V.; 10-10-2012 at 04:02 PM. |
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