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06-06-2010, 08:23 AM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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How Will Your Horse Run Today
I picked up a used copy of this great book
in a truck stop book exchange I have been rereading it and really enjoy this great book by Wm. Scott Unfortunatly I missed the Belmont as my exciting day of getting my new promotion and my new truck had me running around in circles all day anyway here are some plus marks for our Belmont winner right out of the book 1 within 28 days 2. Plus running line last line 3. Second place finish 4. Gain of 3 Horses or Bl from one call to next 5. BULLET 5 furlong workout within 7 days and also since last race within 28 days Thank You Ted for adding marks and readouts that aid in the heart and soul of HWYHRT Last edited by Bill V.; 06-06-2010 at 08:25 AM. |
06-06-2010, 08:47 AM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Hi Bill...
I had this book a long time ago but the over all results weren't too good. Yes this race you got $28 bucks but most others you'll get odds on or worse. Do the cycle test for yourself and let us know. mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
06-06-2010, 09:11 AM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Hi Mike. No cycle is needed here.
If you follow the guidelines from the book and focus on the top 3 betting choices You will have a tough time making much money But throughout the book Mr Scott points out that often the long price horses that win that are not in the Top r choices have the plus factors most winning horses have and horses that lose At stupid short odds fail because they lack the pluses |
06-06-2010, 11:36 AM | #4 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Quote:
mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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06-09-2010, 10:32 AM | #5 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
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Quote:
Good find at that truck-stop! Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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06-11-2010, 02:12 PM | #6 |
LONE FRONTRUNNER
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: SO CAL CIRCUIT
Posts: 58
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"Oldie,s but goodie,s"
His other book; Investing at the race track
Has a chapter about "NEGATIVE" favorites,that I still employ,and is very viable!! Another oldie "shrouded" by time is Mike Fiore,s HOW to rate the horses Last time Ibrought this book up Iwas roundly dumped on here on this sight by someone who has never even heard of this work.It is extremely complex and time consuming 45mins+ for 1 race. Ibought this book at smiths news stand in LA in 1977, the same place doc SARTIN went to when he was new to the game,and asked the owner there out of 100,s of books he had there what was the best,and dont give me any BS,he told me mike f.book ,it is hard bound about 250 pages,out of print now but a few years ago Ifound a old one at vegas,s gamblers book club and snatched up. Anyway back in those days there was no simulcast and Ihad to take a bus to DEL MAR everyday,to work the races,anyway one of the "2 top picks run 1st or 2nd 90% of the time. IF THIS METHOD OUTLINED IN THIS BOOK COULD BE COMPUTERIZED,ALL ELSE WOULD TAKE A BACK SEAT. Come on now lets hear all the negativety now from the uninformed,greenhorns. of the time |
06-11-2010, 02:22 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
06-11-2010, 02:35 PM | #8 |
LONE FRONTRUNNER
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: SO CAL CIRCUIT
Posts: 58
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That is the one
The publisher later made him change the title for some reason.
It deals heavily in pace of race+pace of horse and how the horse reacts to it M.Fiore was a proffesor in the miami area and held handicapping seminars at Calder for years,his pace charts are all out of date now,but make no mistake this is the best book ever written "PERIOD AND OF STORY"!! ASK ME HOW I KNOW. |
06-11-2010, 02:56 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
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Somehow, I never read that one, but thanks for the tip. Just bought it.
Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
06-11-2010, 03:45 PM | #10 |
LONE FRONTRUNNER
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: SO CAL CIRCUIT
Posts: 58
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Good move
I always thought you were a smart guy.
I still have the original one but it is worked over real good! I bought the 2nd one as a back up. His pace charts are based on calders surface back in the mid-70,s but could be updated,and used anyplace in North am. His method is timeless,the only matter that has changed is his recency guidelines,due to the modern T-BRED being more fragile than than the old days,for instance lay-offs that came back from a 60+day layoff and ran a tough 1st race back,are much more likely to regress than they were in the past,heady trainers now are likely to give anywhere up to 5 weeks recovery time to duplicate are improve on that come back race. I.M.O. he goes beyond DOCS anaylisis of pace,any help I can be if your book is missing anything Ican copy and send to you, Be prepared to spend some time to absorb this book,it is not like these modern books that just gloss over subjects,and leave you like AH what do Ido now?? It jumps in to the deep end of the pool,but will give you a complete method,and rating method,probably why the modern cappers have no interest in this book,it IS NOT FOR THE LAZY!!! any help I can be let me know. jdadawg@gmail.com LATER |
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