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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race'

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Old 02-29-2016, 02:01 PM   #1
Bill V.
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Practice race Parx race 8 leap day 2/29

Its so nice to have parx back !
This is race 8 Its a OC 40 Non winner 3 x
Most of these better horses are coming off win races
and layoffs

Here is my look
EARLY
Early Press 6 and 7
Pressers 2 3 8
Sus Pressers 4
Sustained 5

fulcrum #6 87 EPR

My look
horse 2 Presser Line 1 going for 3 wins in a row ?
horse 3 Presser line 1 excellent SAR workoutso
horse 4 SP line 2 line 1 is 9 furlong wrong distance
horse 5 Sus Line 1 nice work since last race 29 days ago
horse 6 EP Line 1 off 79 days works fast but not many
Horse 7 EP Line 1 is a off track but line 7 matches it no activity
in 26 days
Horse 8 Press Line 1 29 days no works

Here are the runners
horse 1 is scratched
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Old 02-29-2016, 02:05 PM   #2
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Horses

2 3 4 5


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Old 02-29-2016, 02:07 PM   #3
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Horses

rest

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Old 02-29-2016, 02:13 PM   #4
Bill V.
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TPR screen

separated, Early Pressers Sustained

Top horses are 4 5 3 7

I will post my selection in a little bit

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Old 02-29-2016, 02:42 PM   #5
Bill V.
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my look

The 2 and 6 should do enough to be a pest to the 7
I will look OTE and go with the 3 and 4

The 5 looks like it might not have enough and be to
far back

win bets 3 and 4

see you after the race :0

Bill
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Old 02-29-2016, 07:22 PM   #6
gl45
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Bill,
I only play GP, one track is enough work. Good to be back.
try to keep a model of your handicapping method and a track profile using the results charts, (who's winning at your track) this will make your job easier.
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Old 02-29-2016, 09:11 PM   #7
rmath
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Prx8

Bill, nice work up.
I enjoyed reading your post.

I used 2-4-6 as my final three horses to bet.
First I totally eliminated the 7 & 8 because the were ranked 6th & 7th on total energy.
I hid the 3 & 5 for being to low on odds at 1 minute to post.
The 2 at 8/ 1 and the 4 at 9/1 were the two best overlays for win bets.
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Old 02-29-2016, 11:42 PM   #8
dlivery
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Bill as always
Thank - You for your Full Report
This would be nice race to have FTL to come on here and tear into.
__________________
May all wagers be Winners...
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Old 03-01-2016, 02:06 AM   #9
Bill V.
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The happy results

Nice work Rmath and I welcome you to the TPR forum

unfortunately I was traveling I could not wait for the final odds
and the 3 became too low to win bet

The 2 with the 2nd high EP quickly took the lead from the 7
and went on to a nice $19 winner

Nice win and exacta with the fulcrum #6 placing
I see this happen often, it has happened in the last few races I have posted

Hopefully I can get another one up soon.

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Old 03-01-2016, 02:31 AM   #10
rmath
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Thanks

Thanks Bill.
One of the benefits of being retired is getting to watch and bet the races.

Prx is one of my favorite tracks along with Tdn.

Keep putting up these practice races. I enjoy working them.
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