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Classic Sartin Programs - Support, Discussion Phase III/MPH, Synergism, Energy, Kgen, Entropy, Thoromation, Quad-Rater, PaceLauncher, Synthesis, Validator, Val4, Speculator, etc ... |
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10-08-2011, 12:06 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Parx Pacelines Post
Here are my lines for todays 6th race at Parxs
CLM 7500 NW3L 7.0 furlongs I added my notes with the screen shots any comments or suggestions would be helpful and welcome Wish me Luck/skill Bill V. |
10-08-2011, 12:17 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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horses
2 3
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10-08-2011, 12:22 PM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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horse 4 5
4 - 5
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10-08-2011, 12:24 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Bill,
For the 1st horse my opinion would be never use 5.5 fur paceline in a 7 fur race also would be leary of using a good winning effort off a layoff. Anyway good skill Jeff |
10-08-2011, 12:25 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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horse 6 7
6-7
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10-08-2011, 12:29 PM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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last 3
Last three 8 9 10
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10-09-2011, 09:28 AM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Excellent job Bill...
Your on your way to be a "true handicapper" Reading and understanding the horses PP's is the first step.. Now you should consider now to eliminate low percentage horses Over the years , I've chosen these as my top : 1) odds over 20-1 2) layoffs over 90 days 3) out of the money finishes yes, its true that some of these come in, but in the long run the percentages will be with you. in this race you would have eliminated the 2-3-5-7-8-10 thats more than half the field!!! then you can do whatever you want to use ..match-up or software etc gl mike
__________________
Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack Last edited by mikesal57; 10-09-2011 at 09:31 AM. |
11-08-2018, 02:12 PM | #8 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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It's been 10 years
I saw this post today. I kind of thought, what would I do today?
My pace line and contender selection methods are a little different. Things I used to do I no longer do, I also noticed the race/lines chosen were never reviewed. I no longer had the RDSS file, so I hand entered my revised line/contenders into thormation Here are my lines/ contenders, the way I pick them today in 2018 PRX Race 6 Oct 11 2008 CL7500 N3-L Horse 1 Line 1 + race Line 2 is also a + race from MTH at 6 furlongs But its a maiden win it's closer to today's distance of 7 furlongs. Yet this is not a N2L race. I will use line 1.I trust thromations adjustments. Horse 2 Lines 1 and 2 are zero lines at today's condition and distance. I have no excuses to go to line 4 Line 3 is out No line Horse 3 No recent plus pacelines Horse 4 Line 3 is a plus paceline at todays distance and surface Line 1 and 2 are at the route distance Horse 5 No lines Horse 6 Line 1 is a + plus paceline at today's distance, class, and surface Horse 7 No recent + pacelines Line 1 is a (+) but at 1 mile Doc would extract here Horse 8 Off 223 days My notes above say it has the best APV and CR But the fact it was claimed for 10,000 and never ran since, and now it drops I say not for the win. I will rate of line 1 Horse 9 Line 1 is a + pace line Horse 10 No line The 7 and 8 were scratched This leaves me with the 1, 4, 6 and 9 Their lines are entered into thoromation Here is the energy generator. All horses are other then early The 9 has a big advantage on total energy, So the 2 adjustment is used The first preplay ( variegate) screen is the EXDC 1 and 9 are the top 2 The second (opposite ) screen is the SP 1 and 4 win the top two Now Thromation as usually happens when using the 2 adjust the horses finish very closely but here the 1 wins by a nostril How does it look to you, The varigate and thromation say 1 9. The 4 is the oppisite counter horse I will post the results in the next post |
11-08-2018, 04:02 PM | #9 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
Results
The 1 wins as the favorite
The 4 places and the 9 runs third for the trifecta |
11-08-2018, 07:54 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Thanks for the workup
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