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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race'

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Old 04-18-2016, 05:49 PM   #11
Mark
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I am going to keep preaching this!!!

We have to look at the pacelines of the horse to discover what and how he succeeds. Screw what paceline(s) they are. The #3 horse had gone wire to wire twice! He had not won or really finished that close any other way. What I missed because when I say him I knew he was my horses is that he learned something in those 3 turf sprints, was to run alongside or just off another horse and not freak out. So he had become a bit of a P and not a dedicated NTL. Bill got that I missed it.
We could see the times he had success against and if he was to run against them today in his race, game over. Don't forget that a horse has a mind and personality and habits. Jim Bradshaw and Richie P spent a lot of time and effort trying to teach us that.
I'm with Richie, if I can't project a pace in a race for whatever reason if I am confused or lack confidence, NEXT. They come along every few minutes. It should take you 5 to 10 minutes to work a race thoroughly. Any of you run track or cross country in high school, it is all about the early pace. If someone roars off to a big lead, no one pressures him chances are no body is going to catch him. He is to busy telling himself, "I'm going to win", "I'm going to win" to think about getting tired. I'm sure a horse feels some kind of emotions as well. So evaluate the horse, look at his fractions check out how he runs in each race, see when he fades or when he gains positions an lengths. That will tell you more than any speed figure or other abstract number. On the other hand when a horse starts running by horses in the stretch as he approaches the finish line that has to be exhilarating. Horses know where the finish line don't think for minute they don't.
See the idea here is to use the same information everybody else has but wind up on a horse that is going to pay a price, honestly not throwing darts. If you use all these adjusted numbers and speed figures and such like those that don't know better, you will end up on the same horses. And lose your money!!
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Old 04-18-2016, 06:41 PM   #12
gl45
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Mark,
I like to quote you,..."Any of you run track or cross country in high school, it is all about the early pace. If someone roars off to a big lead, no one pressures him chances are no body is going to catch him. He is to busy telling himself, "I'm going to win", "I'm going to win" to think about getting tired." I have learned a little bit from my son about fast early pace. I never brag about him, but your post just made me proud of him. Here is a piece from The Baltimore Sun.

Boys Runner of the Year

* Joe Ledda, Liberty, Jr.-- Quiet but intense, Ledda lived out his dream in the Carroll County championship race. Ledda said his goal was to win the county championship because he never had won a big race. He took the top spot by 10 seconds over Westminster's Tim Meerschaert, who had run just three seconds behind Ledda in the Central Maryland Conference championships. It was the third time Ledda had beaten Meerschaert in four confrontations this season, and was just enough to push him past Meerschaert for the Runner of the Year honors. Liberty coach Dan Jones said it is rare to see a high school runner prepare himself so thoroughly for a race. Ledda also wanted to break into the 16-minute-plus club, and he did it in grand style in the 2A regionals at Middletown, finishing in 16 minutes, 16 seconds for fourth place. Ledda thought he had a 16:59 at the county meet but it was an inadvertent call and the official time had him at 17:01.

GL
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Old 04-18-2016, 06:51 PM   #13
Mark
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And how proud you should be...

Few will understand your son's accomplishments. Long distance running like all high endurance sports is grueling. It is only for the very mentally tough. It is pushing yourself beyond your concept of intellectual exhaustion, which stops most people. Congratulations on rearing such a fine young man. May he use this ability to create a long and happy life!
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Old 04-18-2016, 08:28 PM   #14
shoeless
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GL45

Nice piece about your son
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Old 04-18-2016, 09:24 PM   #15
Bill V.
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Here is the chart
Thanks GL45

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