GR 1 "Test" at the Spa

[BJennet]

Re the Test, I like the #1 to win, but not at the odds, and will play it over the #7, and play the latter to win at over 8-1.

FWIW, my own experience using the Methodology in stakes races, is that pace numbers are much less predictive here, than at lower class levels. Gr.I and II horses routinely crush horses with better numbers coming from undgraded stakes, allowance, and even Gr. III's. With rare exceptions, unless one uses horses with lines from graded stakes, the figures are unreliable. However APV, which I guess is now class/consistency, tends to be highly predictive, at least in my experience.

Best of luck to all.

Cheers,

B Jennet

[SilentRun]

My picks do not include #3 BUT in his last 2 he placed and won at G1.

The only other horse that I see who was competetive at G1 was the 4 who
finished 3rd.
I don't see any other horses in this field who were competitive at G1.


Ernie

[Bill V.]

Nice work Bjennet and Ernie with the 3
GS
Bill

[SilentRun]

The class of the field won and placed.

Ernie

[SilentRun]

Opps, sorry I labeled R9 the Whitney by mistake....Ernie

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by Ted Craven

Sorry guys - I was a victim (well, creator) of 'multiple version confusion'. Here is the corrected view, which no surprise, more or less resembles everyone else's.

Attachment 20293

None-the-less, I'm still not convinced this does justice to Franny Freud...

Let's see what prices we're offered. Good luck!

Ted

You know Ted, Franny Freud ended up being scratched, but if it hadn't been, I think it would have been one of those horses you have talked about. They run "as fast as they need to, not as fast as they can".
After all, the horse has raced 11 times with 8 wins and 2 seconds, including Grade II and Grade I wins.
In addition to that, the horse has won at 5 different race tracks and on 3 different surfaces, dirt, poly and turf. What else can you ask of a 3 year old filly? This horse was clearly the best of this group.

Sometimes a horses ability to beat other quality horses is more important than the "time" in which it does so.

The interesting thing in this race, is that the winner and Franny Freud just ran in a Grade I race where they ran 1st and 2nd with Franny Freud coming out on top. Franny Freud is scratched and the other horse, the only Grade I winner in the field, wins the race and pays $12.40.