Sa 10/16

[Procefus]

10/16 Sunday at SA (before scratches)

TOP 3 VDC

R1 - 5/3/1
R2 - 2/4/3
R3 - PASS
R4 - 3/4/5
R5 - PASS
R6 - PASS
R7 - 4/1/2
R8 - 10/1/4
R9 - PASS

Comments and suggestions welcomed - thx

[mikesal57]

Pro...

If you comment on your own thread, maybe we can help or comment..

You had 2 good hits on top over 4-1..
you passed races with multiple firsters
you passed others that I dont know why..

your turn

mike

[mikesal57]

in race 2 you have this....

always look at the race leader...cause he's the one that has to be caught!!!
the early horse will never have the high SR or Te CPR...etc
and he will always be on the bottom of the bl/bl

gl

[Bill V.]

Mike Im confused

The early horse... "

the early horse will never have the high SR or Te CPR...etc
and he will always be on the bottom of the bl/bl"

Not sure if that is always the case

In the race you show the three is way better than the rest. as a matter of fact
the 23.5 BL if not the highest possible its close to being highest

The early horse line is from Fairplex at 8.5 furlongs that must be a bunch of turns and on dirt compared to DMR poly which seems to favor OTE

[Procefus]

Mike & Bill Thanks for the reply

Results
R1 - 6 wins $6.00 (when 3 scr 6 became the third VDC)
R2 - 5 wins miss (#'s 2/4/3/1/5 using pl's 1-1-2-2-1)
R4 - 3 wins $12.40 (#'s 3/4/5/6/1 using 5-2-2-3-2)
R7 - 1 wins $ 4.80 (#'s 4/1/2/8/3 using pl's 1-2-1-2-2)
R8 - 10 wins $12.40 (#'s 10/1/4/9/7 using pl's 2-1-2-2-4)

Hope to add mdns soon

[mikesal57]

Originally Posted by Bill V.

Mike Im confused

The early horse... "


Not sure if that is always the case

In the race you show the three is way better than the rest. as a matter of fact
the 23.5 BL if not the highest possible its close to being highest

The early horse line is from Fairplex at 8.5 furlongs that must be a bunch of turns and on dirt compared to DMR poly which seems to favor OTE

Bill..All I could say is to take note from now on of the horse that has the lead at the first 2 calls and see where he falls on the bl/bl chart.
I'm sure most of the time hes not at the top.

mike

[BJennet]

Originally Posted by Bill V.

Mike Im confused

The early horse... "


Not sure if that is always the case

In the race you show the three is way better than the rest. as a matter of fact
the 23.5 BL if not the highest possible its close to being highest

The early horse line is from Fairplex at 8.5 furlongs that must be a bunch of turns and on dirt compared to DMR poly which seems to favor OTE

Hi Bill,

After looking at this, I agree about the #3. However, the #3 was pulled up, and, as often happens in such scenarios, the other contenders automatically become overlays. I thinik this is what Doc would refer to as 'racing luck'.

Cheers,

B. Jennet

[BJennet]

Originally Posted by mikesal57

Bill..All I could say is to take note from now on of the horse that has the lead at the first 2 calls and see where he falls on the bl/bl chart.
I'm sure most of the time hes not at the top.

mike

Hi Mike,

As I said above, I think the 3 would have taken this, had it not been pulled up, but I agree with your general point. Regardless of race dynamics, track bias, or ability (TE) of the competition, a horse with a huge early lead can sometimes steal races. I've found an SC advantage of 1.5 fps over all competitors to be the difference - less, and they usually don't hang on. Hit a 13-1 shot at CRC yesterday with this angle.

Cheers,

B Jennet

[Bill V.]

Thats a more aceptable answer for me Not much a believer in "nevers""
and "always" I have seen too many horses at the lead in all three segments
win races and be much better than bottom of BLBL

Your the second person in the last few days who has told me about the
little horse leader at the first segment so I will watch how they do

Bill