WO - Queen's Plate 7/6/2014 - Pace and Cap

Ted Craven · 07-06-2014, 02:23 PM

Here's a real quick look at today's Queen's Plate at Woodbine. For me, the biggest news is that #6 Wee Miss Artie looks rather vulnerable as a 1.6-1 ML favourite. If those are close to his final odds, he should be at least on top of the BL Odds line - and he's not, thus vulnerable.

#14 Lexi Lou is the lone filly, though arguably the best one this season, winning the Woodbine Oaks to Artie's Plate Trial. If we're seeking a long-term diet of races like this - and not just this particular race - I'll pass on Artie and take a chance on Lexi and #10 Matador who has been facing Graded Stakes in the US.

Those 2 for the Win, though Lexi will probably approach 5/2. Add in Artie for a saver Exacta box, but make the main Exacta Box on 14-10-15. #15, #4 and #13 can go in 3rd and 4th positions for Tri's and Super's.

I won't be able to watch or bet this one live, which makes me reluctant to bet it, unless I get a cell connection from the cottage

Otherwise, I'll catch the replay late tonight.

Good luck all.

Ted

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lone speed · 07-06-2014, 02:50 PM

My two cents:

I narrowed the race to five contenders:

We Miss Artie-line 1 and line 3

LexieLou-line 1

Majestic Sunsest-line 1 and line 6--wanted some confirmations

Ami's Holiday-line 1- this horse was boxed in and zig zagged throughout the stretch...I kept an eye on this horse for the Kentucky Derby but this seems well spotted in this race at the distance and on the Polytrack. This one looks similar to Mine That Bird in winning the same Grey stakes as a two year colt.

Man O Bear-last line was off a layoff...seems interesting and hasn't fired true three year old form, yet...longshot potential..closed strong in paceline two as a two year colt in Coronation Race against similar contenders.

My workup of the race on Energy.
First screen
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second screen
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Thoromation final screen
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Good skills

JimG · 07-06-2014, 05:46 PM

Memo to self. When Bill and Ted agree on the winner, time to take the rubber band off the bankroll.

Nice job gentlemen!

Jim

Bill V. · 07-06-2014, 05:58 PM

Thank You

Yes the 14 did it I'm sorry I messed up my readouts
If anybody wants to see them I can repost but I will have to add the 10 which i hid by mistake

Bill

Mr.Pagine · 07-06-2014, 06:56 PM

I just walked into a starbucks and found out who won...... nice picking guys.

Can you guys SMS me next time.....lol.

Happy Punting

Far to much cottage fun to think about the races.

Ted Craven · 07-06-2014, 11:30 PM

Well that worked out nicely

Who knew there was a Pentafecta ...

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Ted Craven · 07-06-2014, 11:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr.Pagine

I just walked into a starbucks and found out who won...... nice picking guys.

Can you guys SMS me next time.....lol.

Happy Punting

Far to much cottage fun to think about the races.

Jon, I'll put you on my Twitter

(But give me a few months to figure it out ...) Agreed, it was a glorious weekend in Muskoka. I was originally thinking of attending the Plate, but then thought - naaah. I 'attended' it just fine, though.

cheers,

Ted

Ted Craven · 07-06-2014, 11:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill V.

Thank You

Yes the 14 did it I'm sorry I messed up my readouts
If anybody wants to see them I can repost but I will have to add the 10 which i hid by mistake

Bill

No worries Bill, just repost them. You got the winner, congratulations.

Ted

Ted Craven · 07-06-2014, 11:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JimG

Memo to self. When Bill and Ted agree on the winner, time to take the rubber band off the bankroll.

Nice job gentlemen!

Jim

Thanks Jim. Just watched the replay - a great race!

Ted

atkinsrr · 07-06-2014, 11:54 PM

This is the second time in my racing career that I've bet a filly against the boys...normally I will not do that but I was really high on the #14 ..was really disappointed with the odds..didn't think that she would be under 4/1. also had her on a p4 ticket with the 15, 10, 4, and 6...way to go guys...good job...Ted we must have been thinking alike my RDSS numbers were the same as yours !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

07-06-2014, 02:50 PM	#2
lone speed Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 695	Ted,Thanks for posting the biggest race in Canada My two cents: I narrowed the race to five contenders: We Miss Artie-line 1 and line 3 LexieLou-line 1 Majestic Sunsest-line 1 and line 6--wanted some confirmations Ami's Holiday-line 1- this horse was boxed in and zig zagged throughout the stretch...I kept an eye on this horse for the Kentucky Derby but this seems well spotted in this race at the distance and on the Polytrack. This one looks similar to Mine That Bird in winning the same Grey stakes as a two year colt. Man O Bear-last line was off a layoff...seems interesting and hasn't fired true three year old form, yet...longshot potential..closed strong in paceline two as a two year colt in Coronation Race against similar contenders. My workup of the race on Energy. First screen second screen Thoromation final screen Good skills

07-06-2014, 06:56 PM	#5
Mr.Pagine Happy Punting Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Toronto, Ontario Posts: 481	Great Job Guys... I just walked into a starbucks and found out who won...... nice picking guys. Can you guys SMS me next time.....lol. Happy Punting Far to much cottage fun to think about the races.

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07-06-2014, 02:23 PM	#1
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,853	WO - Queen's Plate 7/6/2014 Here's a real quick look at today's Queen's Plate at Woodbine. For me, the biggest news is that #6 Wee Miss Artie looks rather vulnerable as a 1.6-1 ML favourite. If those are close to his final odds, he should be at least on top of the BL Odds line - and he's not, thus vulnerable. #14 Lexi Lou is the lone filly, though arguably the best one this season, winning the Woodbine Oaks to Artie's Plate Trial. If we're seeking a long-term diet of races like this - and not just this particular race - I'll pass on Artie and take a chance on Lexi and #10 Matador who has been facing Graded Stakes in the US. Those 2 for the Win, though Lexi will probably approach 5/2. Add in Artie for a saver Exacta box, but make the main Exacta Box on 14-10-15. #15, #4 and #13 can go in 3rd and 4th positions for Tri's and Super's. I won't be able to watch or bet this one live, which makes me reluctant to bet it, unless I get a cell connection from the cottage Otherwise, I'll catch the replay late tonight. Good luck all. Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

07-06-2014, 05:46 PM	#3
JimG Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 992	Memo to self. When Bill and Ted agree on the winner, time to take the rubber band off the bankroll. Nice job gentlemen! Jim

07-06-2014, 05:58 PM	#4
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Thanks Jim Thank You Yes the 14 did it I'm sorry I messed up my readouts If anybody wants to see them I can repost but I will have to add the 10 which i hid by mistake Bill

07-06-2014, 11:30 PM	#6
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,853	Well that worked out nicely Who knew there was a Pentafecta ... __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

07-06-2014, 11:54 PM	#10
atkinsrr Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 507	This is the second time in my racing career that I've bet a filly against the boys...normally I will not do that but I was really high on the #14 ..was really disappointed with the odds..didn't think that she would be under 4/1. also had her on a p4 ticket with the 15, 10, 4, and 6...way to go guys...good job...Ted we must have been thinking alike my RDSS numbers were the same as yours !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!