Will TPR Predict The Winner Of This Race?

[partsnut]

Will TPR Predict The Winner Of This Race?

KEE 04-11-09 Race (1)

I've set up this spreadsheet to try and project the winner of this race using TPR (before the fact) and assuming I have the right contenders , which I've gotten with PaceAppraiser and my numbers are correct, the outcome should be favorable (hopefully). In my opinion there are some others on this board that share my belief that TPR is a very predictive factor when used correctly.

Anyone that wishes to express an opinion would be welcomed, encouraged and respected.

[Tim Y]

Beware Turfway lines being too good

[shoeless]

Parts,Nice job on spreadsheet but I would include the EPR and FFR as well.Jeff

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by partsnut

Will TPR Predict The Winner Of This Race?

KEE 04-11-09 Race (1)

I've set up this spreadsheet to try and project the winner of this race using TPR (before the fact) and assuming I have the right contenders , which I've gotten with PaceAppraiser and my numbers are correct, the outcome should be favorable (hopefully). In my opinion there are some others on this board that share my belief that TPR is a very predictive factor when used correctly.

Anyone that wishes to express an opinion would be welcomed, encouraged and respected.

Morning Bill
Here is my Tpr look at the race. Also attaching the Blue Grass same look.

Hey great work at the Kee contest man! Keep it going strong Bill
Richie

[Profiler8]

Hi Partsnut,

can you give me some information about Paceappraiser to seperate the contenders from the non-contenders ? I am a new user of Paceappraiser. I think should be very useful for figuring out the pace of the race.

Thanks...

Greetings
Tim

[shoeless]

Well since you guys are at least putting up readouts I thought I would throw my 2 cents in for 1st at Keeneland

[partsnut]

Richie P:

Morning Bill
Here is my Tpr look at the race. Also attaching the Blue Grass same look.

Hey great work at the Kee contest man! Keep it going strong Bil

Hi Ritchie,

Thanks for the kind encouragement.
The Keenland contest is very competitive. Lots of big price horses.
I'm at 38% winners (8 out of 21) with a positive ROI but find it hard to
compete against the "bombs". My best win was that $29.00 horse.
I guess luck has a lot to do with it.

It seems most of us are in agreement with the numbers.
We all do it in a different way.

[partsnut]

Shoeless:

Parts,Nice job on spreadsheet but I would include the EPR and FFR as well

.Jeff

Jeff, thanks.
Your the guy that clued me in on this factor.
It's very strong.

I do look at the EPR and FFR but it has no bearing on my pick. It does indicate running style.

[partsnut]

Profiler8:

can you give me some information about Paceappraiser to seperate the contenders from the non-contenders ? I am a new user of Paceappraiser. I think should be very useful for figuring out the pace of the race.

Thanks...

Tim, The best thing I can suggest is to read and study Randy's "Extreme Pace Handicapping". It's worth the read at $ 19.95.
This will give you an idea on how to seperate contenders. Randy has the qualification criteria in the book and also has some significant information on his web site.

[partsnut]

Tim Y:

Beware Turfway lines being too good

Your read outs are excellent as usual.

I appreciate the word of caution but I make no distinctions
on what track the pacelines transpired.
My basic play is predicated on form, fit, function and the PaceAppraiser Method.

Thank you for your knowlegeable and historical input. I enjoy reading it.