Oaklawn first few weeks - Pace and Cap

Tim Y · 12-02-2021, 11:35 AM

I have followed the Great Meeting at Hot Springs (got to visit a few years back two weeks after they closed) for the last 16 years and a phenomenon has occured consistently in all those meetings: the first two weeks are next to impossible to play.

I have reviewed that time over and over and have not yet found a common thread to that particular phase of the meeting.

Watch Your Step

Lt1 · 12-02-2021, 12:18 PM

Hi Tim. Jim Bradshaw always referred to this meet as one of the toughest in the country to deal with. I have also found it is best to adopt a cautioned approach for the first several weeks of the meet while gathering info on what is happening over that period. Thanks for sharing your findings with the group.
Tim

CheckMark · 12-02-2021, 01:45 PM

Can't wait

This is my favourite meet and an added blessing before Christmas is they race in December for a few more days!

I will start to post my selections starting tomorrow in hope that I can have the same success as I did last year!

gandalf380 · 12-02-2021, 09:00 PM

Good luck Conley

tom · 12-03-2021, 02:31 PM

Looking forward to the meeting. I've always done OK there using just TPR or Phase III.

For those of you who also use BRIS PPs, the premium version full card are FREE all season---Merry Christmas, Conely!

tom · 12-03-2021, 10:38 PM

Starting off fairly formfull. One factor you use in the 4-Factors, BRIS PP was
very good for Day 1...rankings for the W and P horses:

rainman · 12-04-2021, 10:04 AM

For the last few years seems like horses coming from CD and RP have the advantage those first few weeks. I always prefer the horses coming from those two tracks when breaking ties.

12-02-2021, 11:35 AM	#1
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	Oaklawn first few weeks I have followed the Great Meeting at Hot Springs (got to visit a few years back two weeks after they closed) for the last 16 years and a phenomenon has occured consistently in all those meetings: *the first two weeks are next to impossible to play.* I have reviewed that time over and over and have not yet found a common thread to that particular phase of the meeting. Watch Your Step __________________ Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind."

12-02-2021, 12:18 PM	#2
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 9,125	Hi Tim. Jim Bradshaw always referred to this meet as one of the toughest in the country to deal with. I have also found it is best to adopt a cautioned approach for the first several weeks of the meet while gathering info on what is happening over that period. Thanks for sharing your findings with the group. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

12-02-2021, 01:45 PM	#3
CheckMark Conley Join Date: Sep 2018 Location: Fergus, Canada Posts: 1,777	Can't wait This is my favourite meet and an added blessing before Christmas is they race in December for a few more days! I will start to post my selections starting tomorrow in hope that I can have the same success as I did last year! __________________ Life is an adventure, enjoy it and live every day as if it were your last- Barb Craven

12-02-2021, 09:00 PM	#4
gandalf380 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: central islip ny Posts: 1,090	Good luck Conley __________________ Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com

12-03-2021, 10:38 PM	#6
tom Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 644	Starting off fairly formfull. One factor you use in the 4-Factors, BRIS PP was very good for Day 1...rankings for the W and P horses: Attached Images

12-03-2021, 02:31 PM	#5
tom Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 644	Looking forward to the meeting. I've always done OK there using just TPR or Phase III. For those of you who also use BRIS PPs, the premium version full card are FREE all season---Merry Christmas, Conely!

12-04-2021, 10:04 AM	#7
rainman AlwNW1X Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 12	For the last few years seems like horses coming from CD and RP have the advantage those first few weeks. I always prefer the horses coming from those two tracks when breaking ties.

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