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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 03-15-2011, 12:47 PM   #1
RichieP
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Join Date: Jun 2005
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3/15- OTE at Prx and a TUP Turf

First up is the 7th at Prx. Bunch of E types and doesn't appear that any can get their comfort zone.

1st screenshot shows all runners raw.

2nd screenshot I have removed all the E types and whats left is raw OTE bucks.

3rd screenshot is OTE bucks on Bl/Bl which IS adjusted.

** Reason I put this race up is the last 3 day track profile at 6f distance only TWO horses have WON from position >4 at the FIRST call and with 5 E's in this race somethings gonna give. Lets see what shakes when the gate pops**

Feedback, comments more than welcome here
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Old 03-15-2011, 12:55 PM   #2
RichieP
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TUP - Turf

Next up is a kind of wild turf affair at Turf Paradise. There are 2 early fighters and another wild E runner (also goes 1st off claim today for 50% win/place trainer ) Can he beat the gate and get needed big lead early to hold off the "martians" or will he:
a) go too fast early and fold
b) get hounded by the E fighters present and evaporate

** note the #2 can pass horses if needed**

1st screenshot shows the contenders raw
2nd screnshot shows same mix adjusted on Bl/Bl
3rd screenshot shows pps of the wild E claimed 1st time by "supertrainer". Does 50% w/p qualify as that?

Sunny day and firm turf.
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Old 03-15-2011, 02:31 PM   #3
PeteC
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Hi Rich-

That Prx race looks like a real scramble. Looking at your power lines, I'd lean to #12 and #6.

At Tup, I noticed this race last night too. I'm working at getting good enough at these to makethem a spot play but I'm not there yet. Looking at your power lines, #7 sure looks like he'll be sitting in the right spot behind tiring leaders though.

Hope you hit 'em man if you're jumping in...
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Old 03-15-2011, 03:44 PM   #4
RichieP
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RichieP View Post
First up is the 7th at Prx. Bunch of E types and doesn't appear that any can get their comfort zone.

1st screenshot shows all runners raw.

2nd screenshot I have removed all the E types and whats left is raw OTE bucks.

3rd screenshot is OTE bucks on Bl/Bl which IS adjusted.

** Reason I put this race up is the last 3 day track profile at 6f distance only TWO horses have WON from position >4 at the FIRST call and with 5 E's in this race somethings gonna give. Lets see what shakes when the gate pops**

Feedback, comments more than welcome here
Classic Jim "The Hat" Bradshaw spot play with the earlies destroying one another and the "Martians" coming from everywhere. The 1st 3 finishers were 11th, 10th and 6th at the first call proving that in THIS race the MATCHUP superseded any track profile. Nuff said.

BL/BL of the OTE bucks shows a pretty fine result doesnt it. Note line 5 used on WINNER. Here are the pps, you will see why it was used. Check the projected pace
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Last edited by RichieP; 03-15-2011 at 03:49 PM.
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Old 03-15-2011, 08:06 PM   #5
RichieP
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RichieP View Post
Next up is a kind of wild turf affair at Turf Paradise. There are 2 early fighters and another wild E runner (also goes 1st off claim today for 50% win/place trainer ) Can he beat the gate and get needed big lead early to hold off the "martians" or will he:
a) go too fast early and fold
b) get hounded by the E fighters present and evaporate

** note the #2 can pass horses if needed**

1st screenshot shows the contenders raw
2nd screnshot shows same mix adjusted on Bl/Bl
3rd screenshot shows pps of the wild E claimed 1st time by "supertrainer". Does 50% w/p qualify as that?

Sunny day and firm turf.
Result is a total bust as neither the winner or runnerup is in the contender mix. The 5 went to the lead but was pressed hard by the #10 and melted, Martians never in the picture
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