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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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05-27-2011, 02:04 PM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
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I wanted to bet on the 3 (The Elevator) in the third race but would only have accepted the morning line odds or better. Getting 3/1 isn't enough for me to have this shipper prove himself locally on my money.
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05-27-2011, 04:43 PM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
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I'll take Honor Hymn in the eighth at those odds even though I'd prefer to have more data for the distance in my decision model.
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05-28-2011, 08:35 AM | #13 |
Grade 1 Aspiree
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
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Richie,
Very nice comparison RDSS with E/L 2.0. Could you please post Belmont for 5/28 similiarly. Thanks, Ernie |
05-28-2011, 09:55 AM | #14 |
Grade 1 Aspiree
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
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Bel 5/27
Interesting results.
I am leaving out 3 races where both RDSS and E/L 2.0 hit the chalk winners. Race 1 EE:3,5 LL: 1,4 Win 5..15.60 $ 1 Exacta: 5/1...128.00 (RDSS did not have #5 in top 4 BL/BL) Race 3 Both methods had the 2 horse for 10.80 Race 6 was 8F on the turf and E/L 2.0 picked up the #3 which was close to dominant early (56%) and paid 20.40 Race 7 RDSS had a BL/BL winner #4 for 19.40. This horse was not in EE/LL. Race 9 Both methods had the 4 horse for 42.40. There were 5 races that both methods had the winner, although 3 were chalk and probably would have been passed. As for Races 1, 6 and 7 where either E/L 2.0 or RDSS had a high mutual winner (but not both) it is a harder call. Yeah I know this is after the fact but...personally I favor RDSS and if I played I would not have had the winners in races 1 and 6 but would of had a shot of catching the #4 winner in race 7. Anyway I regret not checking the posts earlier ....I think it is advantageous to present both methods and I hope this is continued. Ernie |
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