|
Google Site Search | Get RDSS | Sartin Library | RDSS FAQs | Conduct | Register | Site FAQ | Members List | Today's Posts | Search |
Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ... |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
07-06-2021, 05:33 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 3,489
|
7/6 8 FL #3 Line?
In hindsight, the second race back seems to be the right pace line, but I picked the most recent race. Did I get it wrong or is this just one of those things?
|
07-06-2021, 07:38 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
|
The pace line from May 25 was the "correct" pace line: same track, distance, class, and purse. HOWEVER, the track that day was FAST, today's condition was GOOD/SEALED, having been SLOPPY/SEALED and raining until race 7. You are adding a HUGE variable when playing OFF tracks that have been sealed, probably not worth risking your bankroll. Try to stay with dirt tracks rated FAST and races carded for turf actually run on the turf.
Richard |
07-06-2021, 07:51 PM | #3 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 3,489
|
Quote:
|
|
07-06-2021, 08:00 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
|
One more thing: if you look at the entire history of this horse, it tends to run best on WET tracks: it won its maiden race on a GOOD track (taken off the turf) on 11/10/18, and ran its fastest race on another GOOD track on 12/31/18. More recently, it ran well on a GOOD track on 2/24/21. As always, hindsight is 20/20, but if you have access to the horse's entire history, you might have picked up on its affinity for GOOD tracks.
Richard |
07-06-2021, 08:08 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 3,489
|
I was just practicing with what was available on YouTube. Overall, I did okay, but this race killed my horizontal bets. The track favored speed while the seal held, but it transitioned and the speed started falling apart.
I agree with you. I have seldom done well on off tracks. And the way this track transitioned was a good example of the risk of horizontal wagers on an off track. |
|
|
Similar Threads | ||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Gulfstream Race 1 - 2/7/18 | Jeebs | Races of Interest | 13 | 02-08-2018 10:30 PM |
Identifying "Pass" races | Jeebs | Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) | 21 | 01-17-2018 06:08 PM |
PRX 5th - 3/28/17 | Jeebs | Selections | 23 | 03-28-2017 11:53 PM |
Using RDSS with a sample race in my learning (Apr 13, 2013 - OP Race 2) | NeedForSpeed | RDSS | 5 | 06-13-2013 02:28 PM |