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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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08-05-2021, 10:37 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 778
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Gulfstream park 8/7 race 2
handicapping GP 8/7 race 2 , what line you use and what you pick
raymond |
08-05-2021, 10:39 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 778
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pp 1-5
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08-05-2021, 10:41 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 778
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pp 6-10
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08-05-2021, 10:50 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 778
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my line
1=L2
2=L1 3=L1 4=no line M/L 30 5=L2 6=no line M/L 20 7=no line M/L 30 8=L1 9=L1 10=L1 my pick will post after scratches raymond |
08-06-2021, 12:57 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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Pace lines:
1 -- Line 2 (June 12) 2 -- Try both line 1 (july 11) and line 2 (june 26) 3 -- Try both line 1 (july 10) and line 2 (june 12) 4 -- Line 1 (nov 20) 5 -- Try both line 1 (july 10) and line 2 (may 29) 6 -- Line 2 (july 9) 7 -- Line 3 (april 10) 8 -- Line 1 (july 10) 9 -- Try both line 1 (july 10 ) and line 2 (june 26) 10 -- Try both line 1 (jun 12) and line 2 (may 9) Will wait for scratches to analyze how race will be run. Good luck Richard |
08-06-2021, 01:32 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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First comments go to race conditions.
At first glance it looks like a NL2 life claimer for 12,500, But it really is open to any 3 YO, no matter how many wins AND 4 yo that have not won twice lifetime - big condition. Horses with multiple wins are 3-2/7, 8-3/12, 9-2/9. Note they all raced vs each other in tandem. By my count there are 1 Early, 6 E/P and 3 P types in this race. There is a last race tandem where they ran 8-3-9-5 (where the 5 was beaten solidly, in its only race against 3+ competition. its win was against all 3YO Horses racing at or below their recent class are the 1-3-5-6-8-9. Horses racing in a higher class than previously raced are 2-4-7-10 Before scratches and PL and BPP info my contenders are 2-3-8-9. The 2 while rising in class off its maiden win has 2nd best 2nd fraction. Low win rate for class jumpers but consider until further notice. More tomorrow. |
08-06-2021, 05:19 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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1 L 2 Toss
2 L 1 Has ability get lead on this bunch and to force others out of their game, PP a plus. 3 L 2 4 L 3 NTL & won't get it, off 255 days and steps up +2 classes, toss 5 L 2 6 L 4 Back to dirt and appears against a lesser POR today 7 L 3 1st time Gelding, UNKNOWN Factor, decent w/o 31 July, up 2+classes & poor trainer 8 L 1 8 L 1 9 L 2 10 L 1 Toss Top contenders not in order: 2,3,5,7,8,9, All contenders seem to run 58.2 to 58.4 for 5F and a traffic jam there. Racing luck, break etc. could play a key role. Before scratches 2-5-8-9 final order. Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 08-06-2021 at 05:23 PM. |
08-06-2021, 09:00 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 3,489
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#1: 2
#2: 4 #3: 1 #4: 1 #5: 5 #6: 9 #7: 2 #8: 1 #9: 1 #10: 1 I like 8. |
08-07-2021, 11:59 AM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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This could be one heck of a race. I see pace pressure on the 8 and while consistent, the horse consistently runs a good one and backs off a little next out and then runs another good sprint. 8 beaten the 9 twice!? but so has the 3.
My contenders are 2-3-8-9 still in no order. It looks to me like the 3 was making a move last out and took up, while making ground in the previous two calls. The two has the 2nd best 2nd fraction and the best 3rd fraction. I like the 3 and 2, in a blanket finish. Might play a super for $2.40 with my four contenders. Hope for a price with the top two. Good luck. |
08-07-2021, 12:07 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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my bets for gp r2:
win bets 2,6 ex 3/2,8,9 ex 9/2,3,8 ex 8/2,3,5,6,7,9,10 Good luck Richard |
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