Cyclical win payoffs

[RichieP]

Doc wrote often about being in tune with the cyclical nature of win payoffs. There would be a series of low payers that would dominate a card or 2 in a row.

What would follow would be a card or cards where overlaid winners would be in abundance.

I checked a few tracks early yesterday evening looking for a track or 2 that had been dominated by low payers/favs yesterday and found 2:
1) Prairie Meadows
2) Delaware

If timing is right these 2 venues today should be kicking some overlaid winners at us. Hopefully a few can be "bagged"

Best of luck/skill to all
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5v4_kf4hJ7I

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by RichieP

Doc wrote often about being in tune with the cyclical nature of win payoffs. There would be a series of low payers that would dominate a card or 2 in a row.

What would follow would be a card or cards where overlaid winners would be in abundance.

I checked a few tracks early yesterday evening looking for a track or 2 that had been dominated by low payers/favs yesterday and found 2:
1) Prairie Meadows
2) Delaware

If timing is right these 2 venues today should be kicking some overlaid winners at us. Hopefully a few can be "bagged"

Best of luck/skill to all
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5v4_kf4hJ7I

Todays results at Delaware (compare with yesterday if you like)

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by RichieP

Todays results at Delaware (compare with yesterday if you desire)

cont (thoroughbreds only)

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by RichieP

I checked a few tracks early yesterday evening looking for a track or 2 that had been dominated by low payers/favs yesterday and found 2:
1) Prairie Meadows


If timing is right these 2 venues today should be kicking some overlaid winners at us. Hopefully a few can be "bagged"

and here are Prairie Meadows results for today (compare with yesterdays thoroughbred races if you like)

Peace

[gandalf380]

you see that happen a lot at the NYRA tracks. Long shots will cause pick-6 carryovers of one or two days. Then the next day will be a string of low priced favorites.

[mikesal57]

Thx for the heads up on this stuff...really helps me when I'm working crazy hours..been working and sleeping at the hotel

didnt bet Del but hit the 3rd and 4th races a PRM


mike

**Morning Mike and glad you "got some". Evangeline for tonight (Thursday) should kick some high payers at us. They were dominated by chalks in last nights action. Just using cyclical patterns like those that go on daily in all parts of our lives.** RichieP

[Tim Y]

It is always interesting to oversee correlation when, in fact, there is none. Mlodinow points out a similar example in his book on randomness where a fellow who CORRECTLY picked if the stock market would go up or down 19 out of 20 years. He was about to be promoted to genius status until if was discovered that his method of predicting was based upon which league won the Super Bowl that year: DUMB LUCK prevailed. The human mind is always trying to overlay patterns to random events to satisfy some law or rule.

P. 199..."it is easy, looking in the past, to construct such nice graphs and neat explanations, but this logical picture of events is just an illusion of hindsight with little relevance for predicting future events." The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules our Lives.

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by Tim Y

It is always interesting to oversee correlation when, in fact, there is none. Mlodinow points out a similar example in his book on randomness where a fellow who CORRECTLY picked if the stock market would go up or down 19 out of 20 years. He was about to be promoted to genius status until if was discovered that his method of predicting was based upon which league won the Super Bowl that year: DUMB LUCK prevailed. The human mind is always trying to overlay patterns to random events to satisfy some law or rule.

P. 199..."it is easy, looking in the past, to construct such nice graphs and neat explanations, but this logical picture of events is just an illusion of hindsight with little relevance for predicting future events." The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules our Lives.

LMAO
There should be a “special section” on this site with the title LAW & ORDER – STABILITY, where only you post. Any time one of us feels like coming back down to earth, we just go to that section and read your comments.

[Tim Y]

Originally Posted by For The Lead

LMAO
There should be a “special section” on this site with the title LAW & ORDER – STABILITY, where only you post. Any time one of us feels like coming back down to earth, we just go to that section and read your comments.

read the book, a NATIONAL BEST SELLER, and you will find out what many in the mathematical and psychology world have discovered: the deterministic view of the world is riddled with randomness in all areas.........in one of the scholarly reviews.."By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives us the tools we need to make more informed decisions..."

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by mikesal57

mike

**Morning Mike and glad you "got some". Evangeline for tonight (Thursday) should kick some high payers at us. They were dominated by chalks in last nights action. Just using cyclical patterns like those that go on daily in all parts of our lives.** RichieP

Last night's payoffs at Evd:

previous night 7 "hide" horses won. Last night 4 and one of those was the first race unplayable with majority FTS.