4/3/20 Tam6 8fT 18K Alw 4yo + - Pace and Cap

wallyHeitz · 04-03-2020, 10:15 AM

Top 5: 7, 10, 12, 4, 2

I'm betting(paper) #4 @ 7/2 or better. It's a good Sustained runner. I'm taking Line 1, it's off a 71K MSW win. The morning line is 3/1; I may not get the odds I like.

Sometimes I wonder, should I roll a pair of dice and wait for proper odds?

partsnut · 04-03-2020, 11:24 AM

Wally, I hope you don't mind me jumping in.
This is my pick for this race. I like this horse at 4-1 odds or higher.

wallyHeitz · 04-03-2020, 12:23 PM

Don't mind you jumping in at all. I do the odds calcs by using the Yellow Manual lineScores. And then I add 50% to the odds. Example the #4 horse line score is 300. That's (1 - .3 ) / .3. The initial line score is 300. The odds are then calculated and then multiplied by 1.5. There are 3 horses that rank higher in the line scores. But I'm sticking with the 4 horse.

partsnut · 04-03-2020, 04:06 PM

Wally, nice pick.

Actually neither horse (the 4 or 7) was bettable to win.
At least not for me.

04-03-2020, 10:15 AM	#1
wallyHeitz AlwNW1X Join Date: Feb 2020 Posts: 15	4/3/20 Tam6 8fT 18K Alw 4yo + Top 5: 7, 10, 12, 4, 2 I'm betting(paper) #4 @ 7/2 or better. It's a good Sustained runner. I'm taking Line 1, it's off a 71K MSW win. The morning line is 3/1; I may not get the odds I like. Sometimes I wonder, should I roll a pair of dice and wait for proper odds?

04-03-2020, 11:24 AM	#2
partsnut BetMix User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,433	Wally, I hope you don't mind me jumping in. This is my pick for this race. I like this horse at 4-1 odds or higher. Attached Images Last edited by partsnut; 04-03-2020 at 11:27 AM.

04-03-2020, 12:23 PM	#3
wallyHeitz AlwNW1X Join Date: Feb 2020 Posts: 15	4/3/20 Tam6 8fT 18K Alw 4yo + Don't mind you jumping in at all. I do the odds calcs by using the Yellow Manual lineScores. And then I add 50% to the odds. Example the #4 horse line score is 300. That's (1 - .3 ) / .3. The initial line score is 300. The odds are then calculated and then multiplied by 1.5. There are 3 horses that rank higher in the line scores. But I'm sticking with the 4 horse.

04-03-2020, 04:06 PM	#4
partsnut BetMix User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,433	Wally, nice pick. Actually neither horse (the 4 or 7) was bettable to win. At least not for me.