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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 05-07-2016, 02:20 PM   #21
sureshotlink
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Matchup analysis of OTE runners closest to the fastest, compared to Projected Pace, might have helped here ...

Attachment 40643

Attachment 40644

Now your cookin Ted...


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Old 05-07-2016, 02:21 PM   #22
raceman5
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I

agree with you 100% on that TED.


Race 8 VDC 2-10-6-9
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Old 05-07-2016, 02:29 PM   #23
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a side note to that Ted you would think the 9 horse would of shown much betters in the readouts in the program instead near the bottom. Whats your opinion on that?

Bob
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Old 05-07-2016, 02:42 PM   #24
Ted Craven
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Going with 2 and 10 to Win. That #3 underneath an Exacta looks too good to pass up!

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Old 05-07-2016, 02:57 PM   #25
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a side note to that Ted you would think the 9 horse would of shown much betters in the readouts in the program instead near the bottom. Whats your opinion on that?

Bob
Bob, I think it's simply a case of his slower pace/final ratings recently (i.e. versus 2 years ago) not comparing well with other contenders recent pace/final. That, distinct from his ability to close the best into a collapsing pace (i.e. best OTE runner), and at a nice price.

I'm sure someone using the Matchup got that horse Which tool to use for each race scenario ...? The $64K question, as always!

Ted
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Old 05-07-2016, 03:01 PM   #26
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CD Race 8

Close ... Insured my loss with the Exacta.

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Old 05-07-2016, 03:15 PM   #27
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Race 9 CD

Vdc------- 6-5-11-13
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Old 05-07-2016, 03:26 PM   #28
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Will take a modest flyer on 5 and 3 to Win (#5 = WP)

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Old 05-07-2016, 03:46 PM   #29
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OK then ...

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Old 05-07-2016, 03:56 PM   #30
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3yo on Turf are tough
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