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Old 01-28-2023, 09:43 AM   #1
CheckMark
Conley
 
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Location: Fergus, Canada
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Oaklawn 1/28

Season Totals
13 races
4 winners (30.7% +1.60)
6 Exactas $97.80 (46.1%)
4 Trifectas $173.35 (30.7%)
2 Superfectas $24.20 (15.3%)

R10: G3 "The Southwest Stakes" 6 2 7 5
#6 Arabian Knight (1/1) Ran a very sharp race 1st time out at Keeneland for trainer Bob Baffert getting the job done by 7 1/4 lengths! Has been off for 2 months and this is the first time this one is going to try a route race but Baffert doesn't care about that since he is 31%/66% with horses of 46-90 days and 29%/61% with horses 1st at route; Jockey Velazquez stays on from last start and if the pace isn't too quick up front to wear 'Knight out this one can be long gone today
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Old 01-28-2023, 05:18 PM   #2
The Pook
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Conley, whats your confidence level for the 6?

From 1 to 10.

(1) being a $20 bet to win and (10) being a loan against the house for $20,000 bet to win. (Probably to show because the bet might kill the pool anyway so you might as well settle for the 5% minimum to come third)

I haven’t looked at the PP’s and am trying to gauge your opinion.

Pook
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Old 01-28-2023, 08:40 PM   #3
CheckMark
Conley
 
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Location: Fergus, Canada
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Results from 1 race today

R10: $2.80 + EXA $11.70 TRI $46.85

1 race
1 winner (100% +2.80)
1 Exacta $11.70 (100%)
1 Trifecta $46.85 (100%)
0 Superfecta

Season Totals
14 races
5 winners (35.7% +4.40)
7 Exactas $109.50 (50.0%)
5 Trifectas $220.20 (35.7%)
2 Superfectas $24.20 (14.2%)

Even with the heavy fav on top the 15-1 and 46-1 shots rounding the 2nd/3rd slots made it a great day here! Thanks be to God always for helping out in times of need


Quote:
Originally Posted by The Pook View Post
Conley, whats your confidence level for the 6?

From 1 to 10.

(1) being a $20 bet to win and (10) being a loan against the house for $20,000 bet to win. (Probably to show because the bet might kill the pool anyway so you might as well settle for the 5% minimum to come third)

I haven’t looked at the PP’s and am trying to gauge your opinion.

Pook
Pook sorry for not responding earlier to this post; Was stuck at work all day today (not handicapping work real work lol)

This play I would say to be honest a solid 8 as I thought this horse was the one to beat but given the sloppy track I bumped this ones level down 2 ticks
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