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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ... |
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#1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Form Cycles
as promised
PapaJohn3times The first thing I do once I open a race is run the TPR numbers on every horses last pace line. I use Phase 1 but you can do this with many different readouts Like Total Energy or speed ratings , whatever The thing I am looking for is who are the top 5 TPR horses ? What is there TPR ability , and how did the earn the TPR ? were they balanced or did they show superior numbers in either EP or LP After I mark everybody running style and find the fulcrum, I then start to look at each horse and starting with the last line, I ask Is this TPR good enough to compete against the horses with the 5 best TPRs ? If the answer is yes and the last line is a + pace line Then I mark that line and move on I do this with every horse, Is Line 1 a yes or no ? If the line is not a + or a (+) Then I look at the form cycle When I refer to a horse in its current form cycle I am drawing lines from one race to another, looking for reasons why it ran the numbers it did in the race before and after. Form cycles are usually 1 2 or 3 races Longer or shorter form cycles are not positive or negative . What they are is a good way to see how horses will preform today Here is an example from my Parx race 9 yesterday 4/10/17, You can do this with every horse on every card , I just picked horse 2 Kwik E cause a few guys had it as a win contender, and I like the name ![]() I have drawn a red line between races that I call starts of new form cycles i have added my comment between the lines I do this in my head but if we could mark up the RDSS PP's o the computer I would draw the lines Let me know what you think Good Skill Bill |
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#2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 909
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I like the concept. It would help to be able to add and save notes on horses a la DRF Formulator.
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#3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 168
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Perfect Bill! Thanks so so much!
Papa John |
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#4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,900
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Bill
Great job Jeff |
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