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August Contest Enter your selections and SCREEN SHOTS and explanations here. Please start a new Thread with your User Name as Title |
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08-02-2012, 02:10 PM | #1 |
Budman
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 797
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noddub62 august contest
Looking forward to August
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08-02-2012, 02:29 PM | #2 |
Budman
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 797
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How I play.
Default settings, Val4. Best of last 3 comprable but I am sometimes loose on this. Adjusted SR and perceptor & no beaten lengths over 7 1/2. I love cheap races and hate last time winners unless they have a big win and/or good works. I eliminate to my top 5 keeping the top TE and Priminary LS score. If they don't line up I'll eliminate to get 5 by BLBL.
When selecting races for the contest I try to find full fields (min. 8) and ML odds with only 1 maybe at 5:2 and perfer 6F and no 2YO, maidens and NW1. I bet off of the ML for contests as we can't wager on line here in the Texas although it has not been a problem for me. I wagercap the top 3 or 4 contenders using the high & low odds, hidding if less than 2:1. From Bill and Ted's spreadsheet it was apparent that I don't need to bet place since for me it's a losing deal. I plan to bet win only but in all of the above statements I reserve the right to change my mind. Thanks for the spreadsheets Bill & Ted. Budman |
08-02-2012, 03:39 PM | #3 |
Budman
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 797
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August 2
Pen race 5 $50 win on #8 & #6
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08-02-2012, 03:43 PM | #4 |
Budman
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 797
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August 2
$50 win on #9 & #7
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08-02-2012, 04:51 PM | #5 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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thanks
Quote:
After reading your outline I can see why you have been in the top 3 both in June and July. I also wish to give you a shout for your great work in the 2nd 20 race cycle, within the july contest You were a big part in me pushing for seperate 20 race cycles as opposed to the running 20 race method we used in July. You are a good person for us to follow Bill |
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08-02-2012, 05:02 PM | #6 |
Budman
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 797
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Thanks Bill,
But you deserve the credit, not me as I am just following your example. I really was sloppy the first 2o races in July and decided that I had to do better or just quit. I was terrible! I focused more on the last 20 and was much improved and I'm looking forward to improvement in August. Also all of my selections were ML odds. I thought that would be a disadvantage but it really wasn't. I'll be watching your explainations and learning more from you. Thanks for being a good teacher. Doc would be very proud of you. Bud |
08-02-2012, 09:53 PM | #7 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: Arizona
Posts: 66
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I just want to thank all of you for sharing your knowledge. It is greatly appreciated...
__________________
Take care, Diane M |
08-02-2012, 09:54 PM | #8 |
Budman
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 797
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08-03-2012, 04:56 PM | #9 |
Budman
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 797
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August 3 cycle 1
PEN Race 7 $60 w on 3, $40W on 5
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08-03-2012, 09:24 PM | #10 |
Budman
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 797
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Tier 3 got me
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