Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > Selections
Mark Forums Read
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Search Today's Posts

Selections Post Your Picks - 1 race or a card

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 08-04-2017, 10:55 AM   #1
Bill V.
The egg man
 
Bill V.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
Day 13 Friday Eve. Feature race, Race#7. 8.5 Turf

Race 7 1 1/16 Miles Turf Purse $62,000 Allowance 62 N2-x

Today we are back on the Del Mar turf course.
Race 7 is an N-2 X Allowance for 3+

Name:  Entries.JPG
Views: 245
Size:  130.1 KB

Today's race has a late post time because of the late Friday card
Post time is 7:00 pm Pst time

Name:  Program.JPG
Views: 242
Size:  81.2 KB

An 8 horse field, Every horse has 3 or more pace lines except horse 8
who has 2 turf route lines but has been off for 449 days

The morning line favorite is horse 6, who is cutting back in distance after running well in marathon distance up at Santa Anita

Name:  ML fav #6.JPG
Views: 226
Size:  183.1 KB
Bill V. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-04-2017, 02:18 PM   #2
raceman5
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
DMR Race 7

$2.00 Exacta 6/7-8

Win bets: 7-8


Bob
raceman5 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-04-2017, 04:22 PM   #3
Bill V.
The egg man
 
Bill V.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
My look

Race 7

Horse 1 Eckersley No real success turf routing, Its best TPR is on the poly track at GG
431 days ago, Line 1 is a 0 race but also a trouble line, and the first race back after a 431-day layoff

Horse 2 Cowboy This one is also running in the second race after a long layoff of 358 days
It's best TPRS are 171-172 so I will use line 3, excusing line 1 and 2 = wrong distance and surface

Horse 3 Burnaroundtheedges Two-time winner. Line 1 is a + recent turf route
178 TPR

Horse 4. Shortcomingstorm EP Pace only line 4

Horse 5 Buckys Pick E7 Early pace threat, No other choice but line 3, Line 1-2 are down the hill

Horse 6. Klondike Creek EP5 Line 2 is the closest to today's distance. It's a + paceline but at 10 furlongs
174 TPR

Horse 7 Donji I will go to line 4, This horse shows a 179 and 2 races in the 180's TPRS
Runs well on both turf and poly. Pace looks to be fast so I will use line 4
where it closed well off a 79 EPR

Horse 8 Conquest Superstar EP8 Comes back off a 449-day layoff
I will rate using line 2

I will make win bets on the 7 and 3, Maybe include the 8 as a throw in a double.

Name:  Try to beat the 6 and 8.JPG
Views: 182
Size:  103.6 KB
Bill V. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-04-2017, 04:43 PM   #4
The Pook
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
The 8 is scratched.

Pook
The Pook is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-04-2017, 05:57 PM   #5
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
Another tough one.
# 6 is consistent, best dis. appears to be 9F so todays cut back makes sense, contender and figures to go off the favorite after a layoff, also has an age advantage over field. I'll try to beat him.

# 5 an unknown factor, has proven dis. & surface but only one race, could be anything. best was in a sprint and maybe better sprinting but until races a route 3 x who knows. The sprint could also be a sign of great class even at a route. Can rate.

# 2 is outclassed and best races are longer,needs longer and is at a disadvantage here probably making the race go and a prep for longer. Toss.

I'll go 1-3-6-7 Don't see any decent possible DD, ex also not reassuring , $ 2 win bet on 1 & 3

Mitch44

Last edited by Mitch44; 08-04-2017 at 06:03 PM.
Mitch44 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-04-2017, 06:19 PM   #6
raceman5
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
Dmr

Ok 8 is scr. win bets 6-7
raceman5 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-04-2017, 08:45 PM   #7
mowens33
Grade 1
 
mowens33's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,035
The 5 and 4 should be on the lead, the 1 and the 6 should get the first run. I’ll go OTE with the 1 and the 6.
Mike
mowens33 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-04-2017, 09:49 PM   #8
The Pook
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
No patterns but will see if I can grind out a matchup.

4 and 5 are early but I don't think they will wire.
2 and 7 are sustained and I think will be too far back off a pace that won't collapse.
1,3 and 6 seem to be about right for positions to close from.

Of these 3 and 6 seem fastest. The 6 has beaten 3 twice in tandems. Might the 3 be able to reverse the tandems today?
I'll go 6,3 @ 60/40

Pook
Attached Images
 
The Pook is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-04-2017, 10:01 PM   #9
Lt1
Grade 1
 
Lt1's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,110
I'll go with 3-7
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify
Lt1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-04-2017, 10:19 PM   #10
Mitch44
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
How about that a cold TRi. yesterday and today a cold TRi. & SF. I guess it can't get better than that. Monkey gets an extra banana for that stuff. I bet it early and was surprised the odds drop that much on the #1 , I was rooting for the 3 who came back nice.

Nice call mowens33

Thanks for the challenge.
Mitch44,

Last edited by Mitch44; 08-04-2017 at 10:26 PM.
Mitch44 is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
20 Race Cycles - For Beginners and Old Alike Because I Can Jim Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) 1 04-13-2017 03:56 PM
8 Month Matchup Thread (Re-posted) Bill Lyster Matchup Discussion 4 05-01-2015 05:02 PM
Adjustments Question Ted Craven RDSS2 / FAQ's 3 06-29-2014 03:22 PM
UPDATED - Official Contest Rules, beginning AUGUST Ted Craven August Contest 1 07-24-2012 10:09 PM
Friday 9/23 - Belmont Turf Route- TM108 Race Class RichieP Matchup Discussion 8 09-23-2011 05:10 PM


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:02 AM.