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Old 09-18-2008, 12:36 PM   #1
Tim Y
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Thursday

Opener looks like the 3,7 at Belmont
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Old 09-18-2008, 12:51 PM   #2
alydar_ David
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Belmont Park Changes
Thursday September 18, 2008

The Main Track condition is now: Fast

The Turf Track condition is now: Firm

The weather at the Track is now: Mostly Sunny,71

BEL 1st: I think 2-3-5-7-9 are the contenders.

#2 might steal it on the front end. That's the only horse that wants the lead, and her EP is good. At 7f a wire-to-wire win is not out of the question, even on the lawn.

#9 would be my second pick if there were a gun to my head.

Although it wouldn't take much to make me change my mind. Let's see what the odds are at two minutes to post.
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Old 09-18-2008, 01:08 PM   #3
alydar_ David
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Had to bet #7 at 26 to 1. No soup. Onward, brave soldier.

BEL Race: 1 Win Place Show
1st 4 Whateverwillbwillb 11.00 4.40 3.50
2nd 3 Acquired Cat 4.00 3.20
3rd 5 Princess Westly 4.40
4th 1A Just a Little Jet
$2 Exacta 4-3 42.00
$2 Trifecta 4-3-5 230.00
Refunds:
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Old 09-18-2008, 01:22 PM   #4
alydar_ David
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BEL 2nd: Looks like 3 and 4 will be fighting for the lead with the favorite, #7, sitting just behind them. When they hit the stretch #3 takes off and wins.

At 5-1 I'll take #3 Missile Motor to win and place
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Old 09-18-2008, 01:29 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alydar_David View Post
BEL 2nd: Looks like 3 and 4 will be fighting for the lead with the favorite, #7, sitting just behind them. When they hit the stretch #3 takes off and wins.

At 5-1 I'll take #3 Missile Motor to win and place
Agreed but jumping a shadow cost us the win

This race exemplifies what energy distribution negates: the 6 had a very lucky BREAK from the gate that could not have been foretold other than by it's having a +7 e/l rating

Last edited by Tim Y; 09-18-2008 at 01:39 PM.
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Old 09-18-2008, 01:45 PM   #6
alydar_ David
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Still, not a bad place payoff with the fave winning.

Race: 2 Win Place Show
1st 7 Leo (GB) 5.00 3.00 2.60
2nd 3 Missile Motor 4.50 3.50
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Old 09-18-2008, 01:52 PM   #7
alydar_ David
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BEL 3rd: The fave, #6, looks very tough. I'm not wild about 8/5 though.

#4 might be good value at 15-1. And #3 at 10-1 seems like a deal.

Dunno. If I take a flyer it will be with small bets cause' #6 looks good.
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Old 09-18-2008, 01:58 PM   #8
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if it is ANY where close to form

You have to consider the one as well as the 6
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Old 09-18-2008, 02:00 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alydar_David View Post
Still, not a bad place payoff with the fave winning.

Race: 2 Win Place Show
1st 7 Leo (GB) 5.00 3.00 2.60
2nd 3 Missile Motor 4.50 3.50
I tripled the place bet as a backup
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Old 09-18-2008, 02:00 PM   #10
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You have to consider the one as well as the 6
That's what I have it boiled down to. I'll dutch them, hope for the 1, but settle for the 6.
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