|
Google Site Search | Get RDSS | Sartin Library | RDSS FAQs | Conduct | Register | Site FAQ | Members List | Search | Today's Posts | Mark Forums Read
General Discussion General Horse Racing Discussion |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
07-07-2020, 11:41 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 111
|
Every selector needs a high-price winner now and then
When Ray Taulbot was writing for American Turf Monthly he posted a long shot method I have used over the years with good success.
Long Shot Odds Angle: 1. The horse must have moved up in class last start. 2. The horse must have started at a major track within the past 30 days. 3. The horse must have finished in the money next-to-last race or must have been running first, second or third at the stretch call no more than 3 lengths off the leader. 4. The horse's odds in the most recent race must have been 10-1 or higher and be two times higher than the horses odds next-to-last race. 5. Today the horse must be entered in the same class as last race or dropping down. The odds must be 14-1 or higher. I am typically more liberal with the 14-1 rule and more stringent with the 30 day rule. Bingo, July 4th, 2020 Laurel Park Race 11 #6 Crazy Kater 25.00 11.40 6.20 |
07-07-2020, 12:32 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: central islip ny
Posts: 1,090
|
how many horses qualified that did not win?
__________________
Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com |
07-07-2020, 12:54 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 111
|
I can only tell you that I cashed enough tickets on this angle to be in the black. If you stuck strictly to the 14-1 rule you would need only one winner out of 10 bets to achieve 50% ROI. In the case with Crazy Kater I had tabbed this horse in September. I bet him his first race back on May 30th. Being an angle horse on July 4th just gave me more confidence to pull the trigger. |
07-07-2020, 01:31 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: central islip ny
Posts: 1,090
|
i used to keep a list of horses to watch but then I realized it was of limited use. Each race is a different matchup than the horse has ever faced before.
__________________
Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com |
07-07-2020, 01:45 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 111
|
I look for situations where you can see the trainer is working
with the horse to bring it to peak condition. I like watching a trainer like Steve Assmussen working with a horse then legging up Ricardo Santana Jr on D-Day. |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|