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02-08-2007, 11:49 AM | #21 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
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Here you go. (I keep this link handy: http://www.tsnhorse.com/cgi-bin/inst...f.cgi?type=inc)
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
02-08-2007, 12:33 PM | #22 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 61
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results for TAM 020607 race #4
results for TAM 020607 race #4
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02-08-2007, 05:09 PM | #23 | |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
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last line
Quote:
I used the last line for a few reasons I saw the 74 speed rating and the 79 for line two my gut told me that since this was a turf race Horse 6 showed nothing in its only turf try I ran the APV Class ratings from EXDC I will list all the horses in my step by step post But I will tell you horse 6 was the lowest APV 65.5% and Its class rating was 2nd lowest at .99 (#2 had .92) I have been hearing about the TP poly lines being too fast I figured that horse 6 just won on that surface at that 8.5 distance and only got a 74 speed rating. I just had picked a 82 for horse 5 So with the poor apv and CR and the win at the same distance and a question about the horse on the turf I didn't want to give the 6 too much help. I would have lost the trifecta but I really don't think about them anyway that i had read that the TP lines were too fast |
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02-08-2007, 05:42 PM | #24 | |
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Posts: 2,643
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Quote:
I will do a step by step how I would use spec 160 for this race As I told Ted in my earlier post on this thread I would have missed the Trifecta because I use what I felt was the best line for horse 6 if I use line 2 I would have had the trifecta on top The way I use Spec160 is the same as I used Validator 2 and 3 and Valm hand entry I do my APV Class ratings first , Then I pick the best line of my contenders last 3 or 4 pacelines I use the APV /CR to determine how much I want to go back for a horse but generally I use the highest Speed rating of the last 3 -4 races I try to use the same track and distance On Spec160 I only look at the Adjusted Normalize Equlized screen . After I pick my pacelines I hide any horse that is not one of the top 5 Total Energy horses and top 5 Primary line score On Spec160 I have to do this from the Bottoim Line Betting line screen On Val Doc had a screen(#3) that was used just for this important step. when I get down to my top 5 horse I pick 2 of the top 3 horses to bet I focus on BLBL Balance Total Energy Primary Line Score The computer made ESP for the horse and the 2nd call beaten lenghts Ok I will get started First here are the APV- CR #1) 92.5% 1,26 #2) 104.6% 0.92 #4) 214.0% 2.72 #5) 95.4% 1.53 #6) 65.6% 0.99 #7) 226.3% 2.04 #9) 76.1% 1.31 #10) 124.4% 1.56 #11) NC #12 214.0% 2.54 -no form but lifetime turf numbers #13 77.4% 1.03 #14) NC I didn't do horse# 11 and 14 these are non contenders Horse 12 I see lots of money won on the turf way back when but not much lately so I will enter a line for the horse _ _Past Performances ________________________________________________ Here is horse 1 I used the last line |
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02-08-2007, 05:44 PM | #25 |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
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Tampa 020607 race 4
Here is horse 2 I used the last line
suff turf lines are blank so its all I have |
02-08-2007, 05:47 PM | #26 |
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,643
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Tampa race 4 020607
Horse 3 was scratched Here is horse 4
Here is were my APV CR numbers tell me its ok to go down to line 3 # 4 is 2nd bets on APV and #1 on Class rating Line 3 |
02-08-2007, 05:50 PM | #27 |
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Tampa race 4 020607
Here is horse 5
The 82 Speed rating catches my eye as up till now everbody has been in the 70's |
02-08-2007, 05:54 PM | #28 |
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Tampa race 4 020607
Here is horse 6 I used the last line
line 2 is better but as I don't want to help this guy because of the poly track speed rating in a win was only 74 at the same distance 8.5 we just saw # 5 get a 82 # 6 is at the bottom on APV and CR He ran third |
02-08-2007, 05:54 PM | #29 |
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Tampa race 4 020607
Here is horse 7
looks a little slow but just won here and has good numbers |
02-08-2007, 05:56 PM | #30 |
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Tampa race 4 020607
Horse 8 was out here is # 9
evryone seems to be about the same speed rating wise so I will use the last line 70 |
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