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03-18-2010, 12:31 AM | #1 |
AlwNW1X
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 4
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wagercapping per follow-up #75
In the above metioned follow-up there is a discussion by the capper concerning horse selection to the effect that we should start with the minimum acceptable odds and then chose the highest remaining overlay. I am a bit confused. Is this referring to tiers, odds or what?
Any help on this would be greatly appreciated. Thanks. Joe |
03-18-2010, 10:33 AM | #2 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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welcome
Quote:
Doc's guidelines were not to bet on horses with odds of less than 5/2 so that was his suggested minimum. Here is an example If your top 4 horses had odds of horse A 4/1 Horse B 2/1 Horse C 8/1 Horse D 9/5 and you followed Doc's guidelines of not less than 5/2 Than your bets would be on horse A and C anyway welcome to Pace and Cap Bill V. |
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03-18-2010, 05:30 PM | #3 |
AlwNW1X
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 4
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What about the race with 4/1, 3/1, 8/1 and 10/1? This is where I'm unsure. Thanks.
Joe |
03-18-2010, 05:39 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Nobody to say
Hey Joe
Everybody should make this call based on what they feel is best for them Doc's guidelines would say the 3/1 and 8/1 the 3/1 is the horse that is above his min odds the 8/1 is the high odds tier3 type that for most wagercappers offers the best value The 10/ 1 tier 4 horse sould be considered if it shows good readout support in Total Energy Total Speed Total Pace Potental VDC and Deceleration Its up to you to bet and live with your decisions If you bet the 3/1 and 8/1 your going to do fine If you bet the 4/1 and 10/1 you will do fine if you bet 8/1 and 10/1 you will win but not as often The Sartin Methodology is about finding ways to win and making decisions Bill V |
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