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2016 Match4Cash Challenges Are You Up 4 It? |
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08-20-2016, 02:33 PM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
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WO4
Since you have to wager on a minimum of ten races you have to push yourself into less than ideal situations. This is one for me, but I think I have a reasonable chance for a score. No reliable early to grab onto. No reliable FPLR. No usable tandem scenarios. Will narrow field using conditions. a) In the last year #6 to #9 are winners of the 1 OT condition. #7,#8,#9 are three year olds. #6 is older but still in the 1 OT condition. b) #1 to #5 are older horses winning in tougher conditions since Aug 2015 (except #3) In #1 to #5’s races showing a) #1 has never appeared in a Graded race b) #2 has never appeared in a Graded race c) #3 has appeared in three Graded races and was semi-competitive in his last one d) #4 has appeared in two Graded races and was not competitive e) #5 has appeared in four Graded races and was competitive in all four Adjusted speed ratings of best of the last three races are tightly bunched. It may come down to who they have been running against. #3 has good works #5 won his last #3 and #5 are my horses. Odds are 14-1and 5-1. #3,#5 to WIN; #3 to PLACE Pook |
08-20-2016, 02:41 PM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
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Congratulations Mick and cigar! Thats three nice prices in a row hit by the M4$ boys.
Pook |
08-20-2016, 09:03 PM | #13 |
Abiding Student
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 711
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Thanks, Pook. I enjoyed reading your analysis.
mick |
08-21-2016, 12:18 PM | #14 |
3-3-1 - 3-3-2
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 394
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Thanks
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08-22-2016, 01:47 PM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,535
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The Chart
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