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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race' |
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01-25-2017, 09:37 AM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Laurel Race 6 1/22 workup
I was asked to work this race, The race was from Sunday
I will work it up step by step, I don't know scratches or track condition, I have no records from Laurel Park so I will use what tools I have, from the PP's First here is the set up screen |
01-25-2017, 09:42 AM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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The race is 6 furlongs for 4+ males Open claiming 7.500
The mL shows a strong 1.6/1 then 2.5, But then a gap to 5 and 6 /1 aand then 3 longer odds horses 8,10 and 12/1 The RX says 2 4-7 1,6 3 |
01-25-2017, 09:55 AM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Pace lines
Here are the runners
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01-25-2017, 09:57 AM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Rest
field 5 6 7
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01-25-2017, 10:06 AM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Running
I hace maked the running styles
1- EP 2- E 3- Sus ( after layoff line 4) 4- SP 5- S 6- P 7- EP Next is the Fulcrum The 4, 5 and 6 come out of the same race with the fastest POR second call (46.8 ) but the track was sly -8 The 4 is the qualifier since it was beaten less than 5 at the second call and final time The 4 has run competitivly against a 46.8 POR so the 4 is the fulcrum. |
01-25-2017, 10:09 AM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Im going to take a break so you can look over the race
The next step when i return will be to look at the last line TPR ratings for all 7 horses Good Skill Bill |
01-25-2017, 05:32 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,149
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Bill,
I noticed you used sly lines for some horses, I would have gone a race back from those for a fast track Jeff |
01-25-2017, 10:26 PM | #8 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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I have
Hi Jeff
I have not selected lines yet, I still am in the initial steps , You, more than anyone live by doing your work before you turn on the computer :-) Before I can select my lines I need to know what each horse ran off the last line , You will see why I do this shortly. Also when I start. I select the last line for each horse so I can identify the fulcrum pace of race . Once I get the information I need from the last line , I will go back and select lines and make changes Lastly I wanted to post the PP,s for each horse and I have RDSS auto selection set to last line , so in honesty I just made screen shots and the last line no matter what track condition was selected, I was not handicapping the race at that point yet. |
01-26-2017, 07:25 AM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,149
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Bill
You made very valid points thanks for explanation and your right about me doing the work before I turn the computer on Jeff Last edited by shoeless; 01-26-2017 at 07:30 AM. |
01-26-2017, 11:52 AM | #10 |
AlwNW3X
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 44
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Is their anymore to this thread? Has it simply not been posted yet? Bill V., I always find your posts helpful and interesting. Thank you for your time and knowledge.
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