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Synergism A Forum for Synergism Users to discuss, exchange tips, post race workups. |
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11-24-2012, 04:56 AM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 878
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#5 was ranked 4th, at post was 3/2 no value there....my top horse was #10 followed by the #6
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11-24-2012, 09:08 AM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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You really do great with NP2 and at Mountain too which I find
impossible to play |
11-24-2012, 11:35 AM | #13 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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WOX 11-24-12 Race (2) ?????
I am not faulting anyones way of playing I just wanted to see a race analysis and selections for todays 2nd race at Woodbine.
I would like to see a "New Pace", Synergism 2 and RDSS Analysis if possible. (before The fact). I am using Taulbots Amervar. Here's what I come up with. I bet to win but I would also like to see choices for the exacta. |
11-24-2012, 12:12 PM | #14 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Rdss
Hi Bill H.
I would do the race but it has too many issues for me. Like to help but The race is for 2 year olds I don't do races for 2 year old races The race is for Nw1xl so almost all the horses are maiden only winners The only horse with a win against winnners is horse 4 and its never run longer than 6.5 furlongs the 2 4 and 5 are sprinters trying to route for the first time No way I would touch this race when there are so many others to pick from. Good Skill with your 4 and 6 |
11-24-2012, 12:45 PM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Whats
NP2? shoe
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11-24-2012, 01:44 PM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
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woodbine 2
7 horse w/p 7 Rutherford Rd 4 21 41 13 2 1 1 Jazzy Jane 6 20 39 1 9 6
__________________
http://pktruckdriver.blogspot.com/ Last edited by pktruckdriver; 11-24-2012 at 01:53 PM. |
11-24-2012, 01:48 PM | #17 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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Results
The favorite ran down my (6) horse in the stretch.
As Bill V. stated: tough race. However, faint heart never wins the fair lady. No guts, no glory. I believe these type of races offer the best opportunity and value. In this game it's risk versus reward. I always look to beat the favorite. Last edited by partsnut; 11-24-2012 at 01:54 PM. |
11-24-2012, 01:49 PM | #18 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Patrick
Nice call Patrick
7 wins but the price was short BTW Here was NP |
11-24-2012, 09:46 PM | #19 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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NP2 is the updated version of New Pace which GL45 has down to
a science and Im VERY HAPPY he is doing well with it. |
11-25-2012, 11:28 AM | #20 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Bill H
Quote:
I totally disagree I was asked to review 2 races yesterday I pass both of them . Being a two horse better I saved $8.00 by realizing I was not working, I would have been gambling Why ? because I did not have a solid opinion on who would win One of the winners paid $104 Your race winner paid $5.80 and I called that race a pass in the above post Here are my notes of the $104 dollar winner race The race was for state bred $5000 Nw2L a bunch of cheap horses Many of which are long past their maiden wins H1 Layoff EP No line 1-19 lifetime H2 No line 20/1 Ml 1-3 lifetime H3 Sus line 1 1- 7 lifetime H4 Layoff but rates as best FF last line but not recent 1-16 lifetime H5 Layoff EP 1-20 lifetime H6 Layoff E 1-10 lifetime H7 Line 1 1-9 lifetime H8 Early Line 1 1-8 lifetime H9 Early Line 1 1-6 lifetime H10 No form 1-24 lifetime I only have pace lines for 4 horses out of 10 3, 7, 8, 9, The winner was horse 4 the 8 placed the 3 showed I watch races all day. After every race I look at the winners PP's Here is the winner. I notice it has the best LPR based on using the last line form every horse It ran wel at FG last year but the long layoff is an issue Issues and knowing when to fold and pass are like wins You do it enough and you don't fall so far behind, that when you win your not just getting back to even. I only work races were I have determined in my mind that I am able to identify the true contenders and I have used appropritae pace lines If as I go threw each horses past performance I have any issues I note them, Any more than two issues in a race and I pass I bet one race yesterday. Race 7 from PRX which was my contest race The payoff was a good return of about $9.20 I picked race 7 because 6.5 furlong races at parx are one of the distance I do well at 8.3 furlongs is also But I pass 8 out of every 10 races at those two distances Why? because usually there are issues with sprinters and routers and I find I'm going deep for pacelines or there are no comperable recent plus lines. I see nice payoffs at 6,and 7 furlongs and 1 mile at Parx all the time But I will only work those distance when I have no issues and all my contenders pacelines are recent plus races from line 1 or 2. If I have to go to line 3 on more than 3 horses I will pass the race Here are my notes from the race I won Its a Start alowance race for NW2L These are for the most part winners of a recent maiden race They have had to have raced for a claiming price of $16000 and never won 2 races H1 p2 line 2 1/10 H2 P2 Line 1 1/2 H3 EP7 line 1 1/7 H4 Layoff Press 1/4 H5 Press4 Line1 1/11 H6 NL 20/1ML 1/2 H7 Early7 Line1 1/6 H8 EP8 line 1 1/1 H9 EP1 Line 1 1/9 F1= 9, 1, 8, TT= 9, 1, 5 F3 = 5, 2, 8 lots of Early speed nobody has an early advantage Bet the 5 and 1 I have lines for every horse except #4 and 6 My contenders are 1, 2, 3, 5, 9 they all come from the last 2 pace lines So I bet $4.00 based on a $2 bet 2 horses I won $9.60 had I played around with the other two races I would have bet $12 and won $9.60 Here is the winner of PRX7 So all my win would have done was get me back to near even I see many people who would agree with you and just go for prices in races like FG2 I am not saying I'm right and they are wrong All I know is I see lots of scratch off lottery tickets and the racinos have more people playing gambline machines and table games than horse wagers So have fun and may you say " I Had That Horse " often GS Bill |
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