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2016 Match4Cash Challenges Are You Up 4 It?

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Old 12-10-2016, 07:50 PM   #11
Capcondo
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I see the 2, 3, and 13 as early. I don't think the pace will be quite as fast as the tandem of 21.3 45. I think the race will run OTE with the contenders being the 1, 6, and 9.

The 1 is my choice to win the race.
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Old 12-10-2016, 07:51 PM   #12
lostandwon
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FPLR is taken from the 11/19 FG5 with projected POR coming from that @ 21.8 – 45.1

ID’d E of 4, 13, with 2 EP-ish. Not sure what to do with 3 but went E last out on the tiny track and can’t run against projected pace OTE so…

Looking for OTE
I like the running position of the 9. It runs around the same place in sprints or routes but lacks fast pace with the exception of the last race 162 days ago. Been working steadily.

10’s running position is good against projected pace. Has wired setting a slower pace but that won’t happen today. He appears to be the defending champion sitting 4th against a fast pace which would be perfect for today. Toss the Keeneland T race. Appears to like FG dirt and T. Can’t like the outside post. No excuse for last race losing to the 12. Haven’t watched replay but assume a lot had to go right for the 12 to get up from way back.
Odds on 10 prohibitive.

Bet
Place 9
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Old 12-11-2016, 09:33 AM   #13
RichieP
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lostandwon View Post
FPLR is taken from the 11/19 FG5 with projected POR coming from that @ 21.8 – 45.1

ID’d E of 4, 13, with 2 EP-ish. Not sure what to do with 3 but went E last out on the tiny track and can’t run against projected pace OTE so…

Looking for OTE
I like the running position of the 9. It runs around the same place in sprints or routes but lacks fast pace with the exception of the last race 162 days ago. Been working steadily.

10’s running position is good against projected pace. Has wired setting a slower pace but that won’t happen today. He appears to be the defending champion sitting 4th against a fast pace which would be perfect for today. Toss the Keeneland T race. Appears to like FG dirt and T. Can’t like the outside post. No excuse for last race losing to the 12. Haven’t watched replay but assume a lot had to go right for the 12 to get up from way back.
Odds on 10 prohibitive.

Bet
Place 9
Thats as good as it gets L&W. Awesome workup, great analysis, cold 100 buck exacta and a bomb winner (bet to place). Tremendous Matching man!!!!!!

Congrats
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Old 12-11-2016, 11:04 AM   #14
The Pook
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Ditto from me Lost. Excellent matching! Congratulations on your place win from a pretty wild race. You will be firmly in the lead now and well deserved.

Pook
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Old 12-11-2016, 11:11 AM   #15
Capcondo
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Very nice call Lost & Won. This was a painful loss for me since I had the 9 in my final 3 (my final 2 actually). I put up a race near the end of the contest that paid over $30 and missed the winner. In contests like these, there's a time when you have to make the right decision. I didn't and you did.

Congratulations.
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Old 12-11-2016, 02:38 PM   #16
mick
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This is my first "Match Up" rodeo and I'm learning. L&W, you demonstrated a level of knowledge and ability that I don't possess. Maybe someday I will.

At my current level, I wouldn't have bet the winner with my ex-wife's money. Damn good bet! I commend you.

mick
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Old 12-11-2016, 06:02 PM   #17
mowens33
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I agree with Mick, lostandwon nice call.

Great matching throughout this contest.

Good Stuff!

Mike
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Old 12-11-2016, 06:18 PM   #18
lostandwon
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Thanks, gents
It ain't over yet

Huge thank you, RichieP. It means alot. Thank you for all the lessons and posts. I try to implement them as written...sometimes are better than others
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