Go Back   Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up > Races of Interest
Google Site Search Get RDSS Sartin Library RDSS FAQs Conduct Register Site FAQ Members List Today's Posts

Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 05-07-2016, 05:50 PM   #41
Bill V.
The egg man
 
Bill V.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
weary

Thanks Ted
looks like we should have gone down a notch, The 6 was right there.
Bill V. is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-07-2016, 05:59 PM   #42
Ted Craven
Grade 1
 
Ted Craven's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V. View Post
Thanks Ted
looks like we should have gone down a notch, The 6 was right there.
Yep! Though, still would have had to choose 2 among 5 horses ...

Ted
__________________

R
DSS -
Racing Decision Support System™
Ted Craven is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-07-2016, 06:01 PM   #43
Ted Craven
Grade 1
 
Ted Craven's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
CD Race 11 - Woodford Reserve

Had no opinion, did not play. Glad everyone returned safe, despite the tumbles That's the worst part of racing, for me. Hoping the fallen get up ...

FWIW, Contender separation was influenced by my observations (per Bill Lyster) that Top 5 CSR win a very high percentage of all races, all classes. Thus horses with CSR > 5 (i.e. blank) were demoted to Secondary).

Name:  CD0507-11.png
Views: 351
Size:  176.0 KB
__________________

R
DSS -
Racing Decision Support System™
Ted Craven is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-07-2016, 06:08 PM   #44
Ted Craven
Grade 1
 
Ted Craven's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
Kentucky Derby

My picks:

Win: #13 and #14: Nyquist and Mohaymen. (I think 2-1 is a great price for Nyquist).
WPS on #9 Destin (i.e. bet it and forget it)

Exacta: 13-14 / 9-5-3

Name:  CD0507-12.png
Views: 338
Size:  102.7 KB

Looks like the 20 horse Derby field is working in the tote - finally (only took me 10 years ). Well, sadly, 11 years for the rest of you. OK, next year I promise!!

Name:  CD0507-12.tote.png
Views: 331
Size:  72.5 KB

BTW, what a mess ...

Ted
__________________

R
DSS -
Racing Decision Support System™
Ted Craven is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-07-2016, 07:01 PM   #45
Ted Craven
Grade 1
 
Ted Craven's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
Derby Result

Nyquist!

Name:  CD0507-12.res.png
Views: 750
Size:  233.6 KB
__________________

R
DSS -
Racing Decision Support System™
Ted Craven is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-09-2016, 02:45 PM   #46
cigar
3-3-1 - 3-3-2
 
cigar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 394
Great Call

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Craven View Post
I hope you stuck to your guns, great call on the winner. Congrats.
cigar is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-09-2016, 03:42 PM   #47
Ted Craven
Grade 1
 
Ted Craven's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,853
Cigar, I did place my largest wagers of the day on Nyquist (and Mohaymen). I lost my Derby exacta for not including Exaggerator, and my winnings did not break me even for my other losing bets Saturday, though I made a nice profit Friday. A confusing collection of races Saturday (for me), most of which I did not bet, but a few enticing enough to pry loose my bankroll (and lose).

I'll try to get my Derby Day Rx Wager Decision Form completed and posted here by end of tonight, like Friday's WDF form.

Mum said she made much more profit off Woodbine's new rolling Doubles on Saturday! I'm ready to spend some time looking at the home track this month! I hope you picked up a few loonies on those Doubles to pay for your losing bet on ... what was that horse ...

Anyway, hope we can hook up later this Summer. Take care,

Ted
__________________

R
DSS -
Racing Decision Support System™
Ted Craven is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-09-2016, 03:52 PM   #48
cigar
3-3-1 - 3-3-2
 
cigar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 394
Derby

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Craven View Post
Cigar, I did place my largest wagers of the day on Nyquist (and Mohaymen). I lost my Derby exacta for not including Exaggerator, and my winnings did not break me even for my other losing bets Saturday, though I made a nice profit Friday. A confusing collection of races Saturday (for me), most of which I did not bet, but a few enticing enough to pry loose my bankroll (and lose).

I'll try to get my Derby Day Rx Wager Decision Form completed and posted here by end of tonight, like Friday's WDF form.

Mum said she made much more profit off Woodbine's new rolling Doubles on Saturday! I'm ready to spend some time looking at the home track this month! I hope you picked up a few loonies on those Doubles to pay for your losing bet on ... what was that horse ...

Anyway, hope we can hook up later this Summer. Take care,

Ted

I have new respect for the winner. Will try to beat him again but will box him as a saver on my exactor. My selection finished 4th and 5th, did not win a race at CD Sat. I did make a nice profit at WO with three nice winners $41.60, $8.60 and 7.30.
cigar is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Dissecting the Kentucky Derby paceline lone speed Matchup Discussion 6 07-31-2013 02:17 PM
RDSS1 and the Kentucky Derby Ted Craven RDSS 11 05-04-2012 07:32 PM
Races of the Derby Trail , Can we look them over? pktruckdriver Races of Interest 10 03-10-2012 06:26 PM
RDSS & Kentucky Derby Ted Craven RDSS 0 04-29-2010 07:22 AM
Release Notes - Version 0.98.7 Ted Craven RDSS Info, Reference 2 07-17-2009 11:09 AM


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:39 PM.