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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 06-07-2014, 02:40 PM   #21
mowens33
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My first post of a big race, my thoughts are any of the top 3 have a good chance for the upset.
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Old 06-07-2014, 02:45 PM   #22
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Wouldn't count the 4 out either!
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Old 06-07-2014, 03:38 PM   #23
Bill V.
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why hurt

Hi Mike

So this is about helping some and hurt others

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Old 06-07-2014, 03:50 PM   #24
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Bill, your good! I feel the horses that have run both KD and Preakness will not be at there best so I picked the lines accordingly.
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Old 06-07-2014, 03:52 PM   #25
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IF CC line for the K-Derby was good enough to win it is good enough for me.
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Old 06-07-2014, 04:10 PM   #26
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so if

wow ok


Good skill

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Old 06-07-2014, 04:58 PM   #27
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Bill, here is my updated selections using the methodology. Someone needs to keep me on the straight and narrow!

Good Handicapping

Mike
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Old 06-07-2014, 05:05 PM   #28
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Mike,

Can you give your rationale for not using Ride on Curlin's last race, the Preakness? Good effort against a much faster pace. Just curious.

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Old 06-07-2014, 05:38 PM   #29
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My thinking was that maybe it was to good of an effort, best byers than a slow 7F work on top of the triple crown grind.

Good Handicapping


Mike
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Old 06-07-2014, 05:55 PM   #30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mowens33 View Post
My thinking was that maybe it was to good of an effort, best byers than a slow 7F work on top of the triple crown grind.

Good Handicapping


Mike
Hi Mike

But I always thought the methodology was about rating contenders off pace lines. ROC ran very well in the Preakness
Isn't it more fair to the other horses in the race to rate ROC off that effort ? Then if the others are close in the readouts, and offer better odds, Then ROC should be bet against. RDSS or any Sartin program is rating pace lines against other pace lines

Your handicapping is sound. Why show a RDSS analysis screen shot?
if your mixing good lines with off lines? I can see how this could be confusing to new users who go strictly by who is ranked in the top 3 VDC or BLBL
and bet off the final odds. The way Doc advised .
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