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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race' |
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06-09-2019, 01:20 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Some Sunday fulcrums
In race 2 from Monmouth, This is the fulcrum, however, it is suspect
The 95 looks aberrant, There is also the 6 horse who is also possible over adjusted with a 101 EPR from line 1 from PRX |
06-09-2019, 01:42 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Race 3
The 3rd race sees horse 6 as the fulcrum with a solid 94.9 EPR
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06-09-2019, 02:06 PM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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The 6
The #6 horse was about 2.5 beaten lengths behind a 45.63-second call
The 3 took control and wins and I hit my pick 3 single |
06-09-2019, 02:35 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Round out
The 6 is the fulcrum in race 5
The 2 9 and 6 looks solid I have them along with the 4 8 as longshots in my Pick 3 |
06-09-2019, 02:59 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Chalk
The fulcrum 6 could not catch the chalky winner # 2
The fulcrum horse places as is a very common occurrence. My pick 3 comes back short but I made a profit |
06-09-2019, 03:07 PM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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3 with 678
I am heading back west to the coast, In race 8 it is a very close call between horse 1c and 7
I will go with the guidelines and use the 1 as my fulcrum with an 87 EPR My pick 3 starts with 6 and 10 Last edited by Bill V.; 06-09-2019 at 03:13 PM. |
06-09-2019, 04:03 PM | #7 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Santa Anita
Race 1 fulcrum
#9 |
06-09-2019, 04:07 PM | #8 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
No
The 9 could not compete off the 44-day layoff and a 112.52 pace
was never a factor |
06-09-2019, 04:20 PM | #9 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
Quote:
] Last edited by Bill V.; 06-09-2019 at 04:24 PM. |
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06-09-2019, 06:11 PM | #10 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Bafferts
I think Bob Baffert's # 5 MClaimer is in trouble here because of the fulcrum #3
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