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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems

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Old 02-03-2019, 10:48 AM   #1
lone speed
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2019 Kentucky Derby Prep races

The "countdown begins"....90 days out till the "Big Dance" on the 1st Saturday in May at the Twin Spirals at Churchill Downs.

The 1st of Baffert's big three started his 3 year old Derby campaign with style.

Mucho Gusto dominated. ("Nice to meet you" in Spanish when you greet someone new..) Does Baffert wait for the Santa Anita Derby or does he find another prep race??? This one looks to prep on the West Coast while Improbable might go to the Rebel and Arkansas Derby route.

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Mucho Gusto had a turn time of 23.2+ and a 3rd fraction of 31.2 on the sloppy track.

The track at Santa Anita got drenched with heavy rain and the track was sealed. Super fast all week during storms. Battle of Midway and McKenzie also ran super fast clockings on the sloppy track.

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Old 02-09-2019, 09:04 PM   #2
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I asked my dad for a future wager on Collosium and he did it on HPI (which is the the prime betting here in Canada) and the odds were 35-1! I will be super happy if he can draw AND WIN THE DERBY!!!
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Old 02-13-2019, 10:55 PM   #3
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Coliseum is off the Derby Trail

Quote from Paulickreport:

Godolphin homebred Coliseum finished third in Sunday's G2 San Vicente Stakes at Santa Anita, defeated as the 0.70-1 favorite in the field of five. Trainer Bob Baffert told drf.com that the 3-year-old son of Tapit is “better than that,” and officially declared the colt off the Kentucky Derby trail.

“I'm going to reboot him, kick him out for 30 days,” Baffert said. “We know he's good, but he doesn't want to train, he's sour.”
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Old 02-14-2019, 08:59 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lone speed View Post
Quote from Paulickreport:

Godolphin homebred Coliseum finished third in Sunday's G2 San Vicente Stakes at Santa Anita, defeated as the 0.70-1 favorite in the field of five. Trainer Bob Baffert told drf.com that the 3-year-old son of Tapit is “better than that,” and officially declared the colt off the Kentucky Derby trail.

“I'm going to reboot him, kick him out for 30 days,” Baffert said. “We know he's good, but he doesn't want to train, he's sour.”
Sh**. That’s not good. Thanks for the news. Sorry for the swearing but really thought he had a chance.
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Old 02-16-2019, 11:43 AM   #5
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2 Year Old Champion

Every Derby Analysis should always start with the 2 Year Old Champ:

Big Question will be if its 2 year old campaign took too much.

Game Winner

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Old 02-16-2019, 11:45 AM   #6
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Bob Baffert's other top 3 year old

Improbable

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Old 02-16-2019, 11:47 AM   #7
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Big Performance first race out

Bill Mott's Hidden Scroll

This one ran a strong mile around one turn.....

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Old 02-16-2019, 11:51 AM   #8
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Let's await Hidden Scroll's next race in the Fountain of Youth around 2 turns and a couple of questions to be answered...

1)Bounce?? Negative 2 on Thoro-Graph (published on Haskin's Top 12 Derby contenders)

2)Was first race enhanced by the sloppy track?? nevertheless, it was a huge performance...
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Old 02-16-2019, 11:54 AM   #9
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Interesting Derby hopeful

This is trainer Bill Mott's other Derby hopeful who ran a huge 3rd fraction but against a very "slow" early pace fractions:

Country House runs in the Risen Star today at the Fair Grounds

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Old 02-17-2019, 01:26 AM   #10
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Risen Star chart

War of Will takes Risen Star

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