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04-22-2014, 06:50 PM
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#1 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 593
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Mountaineer races 1-2 4-22-14
Races 1-2
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Every day I wake up above the grass its a good day ! Last edited by Bill V.; 04-23-2014 at 09:56 AM. |
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04-22-2014, 06:51 PM
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#2 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 593
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Race 2
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Every day I wake up above the grass its a good day ! |
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04-22-2014, 07:07 PM
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#3 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 593
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This goes with race 1
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Every day I wake up above the grass its a good day ! |
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04-23-2014, 12:25 AM
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#4 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 593
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The Charts
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Every day I wake up above the grass its a good day ! |
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04-23-2014, 10:04 AM
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#5 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Hi Ramon
Nice work on race 2 I hope you cashed (and Mike did too ) I am looking over race 1 Good Skill Bill --- |
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04-23-2014, 10:42 AM
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#6 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Race 1
Hi Ramon
I did this knowing the results but I thought I could show some things about this race. I saw you went 4 back on the winner. I agree.. Line 1 is its first try at MNR this meet Lines 2 and 3 are from TP (poly ) and line 4 is its best ever 85 but its only 70 days ago ! Here are my lines To help out the new users like James I have been entering a line for every horses as long as its speed ratings are comparable Here I have a line for everyone except horse 5 who is only a 74 Here is how everybody looks before hides There are three horses off over 100 days but It no issue because they all are rated on the bottom of BLBL and will be hidden Now some after hides looks |
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04-23-2014, 10:45 AM
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#7 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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In follow up 85 and 86
In the follow up 85 and 86 Doc says to pick lines that fit a range of speed ratings-- The Adjusted Normalized and Equalized lines from a comparable distance surface and competition level
In this race The speed rating range is 80 - 85 Next are some readouts -------------------------- |
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04-23-2014, 10:59 AM
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#8 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Before Hides
I have hidden the horses with primary line scores over 6
I will only consider contenders the top 5 Primary line score horses so I am left with The 1 is the 1.20/1 favorite and is in tier 3 on BLBL I will hide the 1 Now my top 4 Here is the validator The 7 10 and 4 are top 3 VDC the 3 has little to justify a bet at this point Now comes bet time The easy thing to do is bet the various betting strategies outlined in the follow up. but the 7 looks good One methodology tool that works well is to bet the first horse of your top three that will pay over 5/2 . Than for your second bet bet either the highest overlay or what helps too is bet the horse with the most 1 and 2 readouts Here I have Horse 7 - 18 1or 2 rankings Horse 10 - 15 1 or 2 rankings Horse 4 - 5 1 -or 2 rankings Horse 3 only 1 I would bet the 7 and 10 |
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04-23-2014, 06:10 PM
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#9 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 593
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Hi Bill ! Just an example of two cheap races that are confusing to the crowd.
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