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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ...

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Old 09-06-2019, 07:24 PM   #51
Mitch44
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Your welcome oswaldrha. The # 3 got the place with a longshot beating him.


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Old 09-07-2019, 10:21 AM   #52
Bill V.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mitch44 View Post
Your welcome oswaldrha. The # 3 got the place with a longshot beating him.


Mitch44
Hi Mitch

I worked the race last night
The winner # 5 coming off a win line rates low

I happen to be reading Modern Pace Handicapping by Tom Brohamer .
He says to avoid in record keeping in a Brohamer model the lowest
class races on the ground. He writes they are often are won by form and recency Not so much by readouts'
I am not sure about AP but a CL4000 looks pretty low/cheap
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Old 09-08-2019, 01:22 PM   #53
Mitch44
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Even through the #5 won his last race he still was taking to huge a step up for my liking and from the cheapness of this race could not see him repeating a win, repeaters are unusual at this level. Your correct Bill his win line rated low.

After the question and analysis I decided to do AP for the day. I don't know what happen to the racing at AP but the card was exceptionally real ugly. It seemed that I was the best one half Ex. and DD player most of the day and found myself behind.

The 8th and final race I thought was the best race on the card and I had a very good handle on it. Hit the DD to get my money back and won a whopping $2.30 for the day.

2019-09-06 14:46:18 Bet Arlington 7 Double $5.00 4 + 6 + 7 / 2 + 3 $30.00 $225.50

Profit/Loss 25 12.00%+0.01 $280.00 $282.30 $+2.30

Beats losing and I always have the attitude that I'm only one race away from getting my money back or making a nice profit.

Mitch44

Last edited by Mitch44; 09-08-2019 at 01:30 PM.
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