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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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05-17-2019, 01:13 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Black Eyed Susan
Hello my Pace and Cap friends
As some of you may know, The Black Eyed Susan is one of my favorite races. As a youngster, Many years before I met Richie P at the Meadowlands and started with the methodology, I made a $2 show bet on a horse names Salt. It won, I collected like $85 when a 1-5 favorite ran out of the money. I felt like a millionaire and was hooked on the sport Here is today's race The SEGS THE BLBL RX2 |
05-17-2019, 03:14 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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Tough race Bill but I'll go 8-6
Mitch44 |
05-17-2019, 03:29 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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Here are my 2 cents:
My main win contenders are 7,4,8, with a possible longshot in the 5. Looks to me like the 4 and 9 are need the lead types, with lots of early pace pressure, but the 7 is likely to actually get the lead in the first fraction, and then struggle a bit in the second fraction if pressed too hard by the 4. The 9 probably won't get the lead. The question with the 7 is whether she can hold on in the third fraction without spitting the bit. If the 4 can run her race without getting the lead, she has a very even running style throughout the race, and is the fastest horse based on final time speed. If the 4,7, and 9 go out too early, it sets the race up for the 8 to close. 5 is an interesting longshot: she should be up close early, make a middle move, and try to hold on. 2 has the best third fraction and will be flying in the stretch, might want to use underneath if playing exotics. My fair win odds line: 7 @ 2-1 4 @ 5/2 8 @ 7/2 5 @ 12-1 Good luck. Richard |
05-17-2019, 04:32 PM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Thanks Richard and Mitch
We added the 6 and 9 to our Pick 4 mix The gang is at the table West
up here in the owner's lounge at Del Mar. Good skill to you guys out there back East |
05-17-2019, 06:40 PM | #5 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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We all did it
Way to go Mitch and Richard and myself
We all had the !! I am alive in the pick 4 and the Susan/Preakness double. The 4 and 7 ran really well on the lead. The 4 would have been nice because of some side bets. Happily, the right in your face on RDSS #8 was a nice winner. |
05-17-2019, 07:02 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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I thought tis race had a few UNKNOWNS in it so I bet it light. The First Lady was on me and waiting to go to dinner so I had to rush my bets putting them in.
I thought I bet the 6 & 8 and when I checked it on my return I only bet the 8. After 3 bad DQ's lately it was a present surprise. #8 was my first pick and a good payoff considering. Alive for the DD. Good luck with your P4 and DD. COMPLETED: 9fcb3-02e14 PIM #11 $4 Win 8 none $4.00 $15.60 + $11.60 Mitch44 |
05-17-2019, 07:20 PM | #7 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
Nailed the Pick 4
8 9 4 11 comes in
Pick 4 for .50 pays $94 Some more ammo for the building bankroll Like my dad says "send it in" |
05-17-2019, 07:41 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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Congrats Bill & real nice ROI, nice work.
Mitch44 |
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