Final Stats Recap

[Lt1]

Here are the final stats for the 19 days of full cards I posted. I used RDSS and for my pace line I used the best of the last 3 perceptor ranking at a comparable dist,surface, and class within 1 fur of the race dist. Here what it ended up producing

Races handicapped 168
total of #1 picks that won 54 [32.1%]
total of #2 picks that won 41 [24.4%]
total of #3 picks that won 27 [16%]
total of #4 picks that won 19 [11.3%]
non top 4 picks that won 27 16%]
Note these were not always the tier rankings on the RX screen but the result of my decision process.

Here are the results of how many exotic wins were included in the top choices.
Doubles 90 {53.5%]
Exactas 93 [55.3 %]
Triples 52 [30.9%]
Supers 22 [13%]
P3 51 [30.3]
P4 11 [6.5%]
P5 3 [1.7%]

Conclusions
Confining win/place bets to the top 3 contenders produced 122 of 168 winners[72.6%] to the top 4 produced 141 of the 168 winners [83.9%]
For exotic wagers dd & ex had the best hit rate. Tris and p3s were ok. Supers,p4s & p5s required going deeper. Hopefully members will find these results useful.
Tim

[Bill V.]

Hi Tim

Thank you so much for posting your picks.
I found, for me, it was better to use your picks in multi-win type bets.
Because you were posting 4 horses per race I was able to spread our
single in my picks

I did smile when I saw you hit 55% of your exactas

Doc would be happy with those results, He did write the 55% solution manual

[gandalf380]

Tim

am I correct in that the stats for exotics include all of the top four horses? those are very good results.


Charlie.

[mowens33]

Tim, Great Stuff

[CheckMark]

Good all around stats man. Best hit rate on Exactas I have seen in a while.

[darmar]

Hi Tim
As always I salute you for your willingness and generosity for posting all those cards for the month. If not for you and the other stalwarts of the methodology
(Bill V, Mitch44, Mowens,Pook & others) the newest members would not be able apply your concepts to their handicapping to see just where their weak points are and correct them. Once again, a tip of the hat to a true professional for extending a hand and helping many of us improve our game.
Darryl March

[Lt1]

Thanks guys. Just trying to get some conversation and thoughts flowing.
Tim

[Lt1]

Hi Charlie. Yes those were the number of exotic wins that were contained in the top 4 selections. Everyday I showed the number of winning exotics bets in the top 4 plus the payoff prices for folks to check out. Did the same for the win bet prices. Profit line and Bris prime power rankings do well in identifying winners and exotic contenders.
Tim

[Mitch44]

Excellent stats Tim and a glimpse at of what we do.


The real crux though is your final decisions making in moving horses up or down, Those that accept blindly any figure or factor (Prime, Profit, SR, CSR,BLBL,V/DC etc.) will be taking the wrong fork in the road to their results. They are all complimented by a review of the horses PP's and an evaluation of the form cycle.


Lastly discipline and money management are the icing on the cake.


Terrific job buddy!


Mitch44

[Lt1]

Just want to be clear that I didn't play or win all of these races. I am merely reporting the results attained by my top 4 contenders in each race.
Tim